Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Player Prop Picks 3/18/25 NBA Picks

The Golden State Warriors are set to host the Milwaukee Bucks on Tuesday, March 18, 2025, at the Chase Center in San Francisco. The Warriors, boasting a 39-28 record, have been on a remarkable run, winning 14 of their last 16 games since acquiring Jimmy Butler. This surge has propelled them to the sixth spot in the Western Conference standings. In contrast, the Bucks hold a 38-29 record but have faced inconsistency recently. They suffered a 121-105 loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder in their previous outing, shooting just 39.8% from the field. 

In terms of injuries, the Warriors have been managing without starting guard Brandin Podziemski, who has missed four games due to a lower back strain. However, he is expected to return for the matchup against the Bucks. The Bucks, meanwhile, have a fully healthy roster, with Giannis Antetokounmpo recording his seventh triple-double of the season in their recent game against the Thunder. 

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Damian Lillard Under 22.5 Points

Damian Lillard is averaging 25.1 points, 7.1 assists, and 4.7 rebounds per game, with a field goal percentage of 45.0% and a three-point shooting percentage of 37.9%. We all know the Bucks want the ball in Giannis’s hands and that’s been relevant when looking at the Bucks numbers as of late. Lillard has scored less than 22 points in 4 of his last 5 games. This is also a tough matchup going against this Golden State team that has been strong defending the perimeter.

Steph Curry Over 26.5 Points

Golden State Warriors point guard Stephen Curry is delivering remarkable performances in the 2024-25 NBA season. Over 66 games, he is averaging 24.3 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 6.1 assists per game, with a field goal percentage of 44.7%. These statistics underscore Curry’s continued excellence and significant contribution to the Warriors’ success this season. Curry has scored 28+ points in 4 of his last 6 games highlighted by a 40-point game against the Brooklyn Nets. Ever since Butler joined this Golden State team we’ve seen Curry’s numbers look like when this Warriors team was at their prime. In what should be a fast-paced high-scoring game I don’t see Curry slowing down in this one. 

Kyle Kuzma Under 12.5 Points

Kyle Kuzma, playing for the Milwaukee Bucks, has averaged 14.5 points, 6.1 rebounds, and 2.3 assists per game. His shooting percentages stand at 42.1% from the field, 28.1% from three-point range, and 60.2% from the free-throw line. These figures represent a decline from his 2023-24 season performance with the Washington Wizards, where he averaged 22.2 points, 6.6 rebounds, and 4.2 assists per game, with shooting splits of 46.3% from the field, 33.6% from three-point range, and 77.5% from the free-throw line. The decrease in Kuzma’s scoring and efficiency this season may be attributed to adjustments in his role within the Bucks’ system, changes in team dynamics, or other factors impacting his performance. Kuzma hasn’t scored over 10 points in his last 4 games and I don’t see this being the spot he picks it up in.