Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 1/11/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Milwaukee Bucks and Denver Nuggets meet Sunday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Pick.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks beat the Lakers, lost to the Warriors, and they play the Timberwolves next. The Bucks have won 6 of their last 9 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 113.1 points on 48.5 percent shooting and allowing 115.9 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 28.9 points and 10 rebounds, while Kevin Porter Jr. is averaging 18.8 points and 5.3 rebounds. Ryan Rollins is the third double-digit scorer and Bobby Portis is grabbing 6.4 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 39.7 percent from beyond the arc and 73.1 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.4 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets beat the Celtics, lost to the Hawks, and they play the Pelicans next. The Nuggets have lost 5 of their last 8 games.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 128 points on 50.8 percent shooting and allowing 121.6 points on 47.3 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.6 points and 12.2 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 25.4 points and 4.5 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer, and Tim Hardaway Jr. is grabbing 2.4 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 40 percent from beyond the arc and 82.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

• The Nuggets have won each of their last seven home games following a loss.
• The Bucks have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Northwest Division opponents.
• The Nuggets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs following a loss.
• The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games against Western Conference opponents following a win.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

• The favorites have won each of the last six games between the Bucks and Nuggets at Ball Arena.
• The Bucks have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games as road favorites against Northwest Division opponents following a win.
• The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five home games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Nuggets’ last eight home games against Central Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of the Bucks’ last eight night games against Northwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts

• Myles Turner is one of only two qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.5 threes and 1.5 blocks this season.
• Ryan Rollins ranks T12th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (12.3).
• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goal percentage this season (50.5%).
• The Bucks rank 30th for second chance points (448) this season.
• The Bucks rank 30th for second chance points per game (11.8) this season.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report

Nikola Jokic, Cameron Johnson, Jonas Valanciunas, and Tamar Bates are out for the Nuggets. Spencer Jones and Jamal Murray are questionable.

The Bucks will be without Taurean Prince.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

You can make a case for the Nuggets and the bucket at home, but their injury report gets worse by the day, and you can’t seriously back them with confidence with so many key guys out. The Nuggets looked awful in their last effort against the Hawks. The Bucks haven’t had much success on the road, but they have a motivated Antetokounmpo leading the way, and he’s capable of taking over a game like this where the Nuggets are down to backups of backups. We’re laying a bucket. Give me the Bucks.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Milwaukee Bucks -2.5