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Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Prediction NBA Picks 12/1/24
Pick details
Toronto Raptors (5-15) vs Miami Heat (9-8)
December 1, 2024 at 06:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Raptors +4.5 — Over/Under: 223
Miami HeatÂ
The Miami Heat have been in decent form as they’ve won four of their last five games overall and they will be gunning for a third straight victory after taking down the Raptors in a 121-111 home win on Friday. Jimmy Butler led the team with 26 points and six assists, Tyler Herro added 23 points on eight of 18 shooting while Bam Adebayo tallied a triple-double of 14 points with 10 rebounds and 10 assists. As a team, the Heat shot 45 percent from the field and 21 of 54 from the 3-point line as they weathered an early scoring barrage from the Raptors in the first half, before they made their move and exploded for 38 points in the third quarter to turn a seven-point deficit into a 15-point lead. The Heat will face the Celtics after this one.
Toronto RaptorsÂ
Meanwhile, the Toronto Raptors have been in a rut as they’ve lost three of their past four games and they will be hoping to bounce back after coming up short against the Heat on Friday. RJ Barrett led the team with 25 points, six rebounds, and seven assists, Jakob Poeltl scored 24 points with 10 rebounds while Scottie Barnes tallied a triple-double of 24 points with 10 rebounds and 10 assists. As a team, the Raptors shot 53 percent from the field and 11 of 29 from the 3-point line as they looked to be in control after scoring 40 points in the second quarter to take the narrow lead into halftime, only to get outscored by 38-23 in the third quarter to see the Heat run away with it in the end. The Raptors will take on the Pacers following this game.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Raptors have lost each of their last six games at Scotiabank Arena against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Heat have won four of their last five games.
- The Raptors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games at Scotiabank Arena against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Heat have covered the spread in four of their last five games as road favorites against the Raptors following a win.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Raptors’ last eight games as underdogs following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of the Heat’s last five games as road favorites following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors Prediction
The Heat are still slightly shorthanded with Nikola Jovic and Josh Richardson still out, while the Raptors have ruled out Kelly Olynyk, Gradey Dick, and Bruce Brown once again. The Heat haven’t been at their absolute best, but they’ve still managed to win four of their last five games which is much better than the Raptors who have yet to enjoy any sustained run of success this season. It’s always tough to beat the same team twice in a row, but the line is so short for this one that I can’t resist taking the Heat to get the job done once again.