Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Prediction 1/20/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Miami Heat and Sacramento Kings meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Golden 1 Center. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat lost to the Warriors, beat the Thunder, and they play the Trail Blazers next. The Heat have lost 5 of their last 7 games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 119.4 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 117.7 points on 46 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 23.8 points and 3.7 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 21.8 points and 2.7 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.6 rebounds per game.

Sacramento Kings Betting Preview

The Sacramento Kings beat the Wizards, lost to the Trail Blazers, and they play the Raptors next. The Kings have won 4 of their last 5 games.

The Sacramento Kings are averaging 110.2 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 120.7 points on 49.2 percent shooting. Zach LaVine is averaging 20 points and 3.1 rebounds, while DeMar DeRozan is averaging 19.1 points and 3.4 rebounds. Domantas Sabonis is the third double-digit scorer and Russell Westbrook is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 76.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 4.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.6 rebounds per game.

Why the Sacramento Kings will win

• The Kings have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Heat following a loss.
• The Heat have lost seven of their last eight road games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games against Pacific Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The Kings have covered the spread in each of their last four games against the Heat following a loss.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Heat have won 11 of their last 12 games on the second leg of a back-to-back against the Kings.
• The Kings have lost each of their last six home games against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
• The Heat have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games as road favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Kings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as home underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Kings’ last eight night games on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Heat’s last five games at Golden 1 Center have gone OVER the total points line.

Sacramento Kings Player Facts

• DeMar DeRozan is one of only 15 qualified Guards in the league shooting at least 50% from the field this season.
• Dennis Schroder ranks 18th amongst qualified players for assists per 36 minutes (7.6) this season.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Norman Powell ranks 6th amongst qualified players for fast break points per game (3.8) this season.
• Bam Adebayo ranks 3rd amongst qualified Forwards for rebounds per game (9.7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Kings rank 30th in the league for Q2 points per game this season (27.3).
• The Kings rank 30th in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (20.9%).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for Q1 points per game this season (31.7).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for H1 points per game this season (61.4).

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Injury Report

The Kings will be without Keegan Murray.

The Heat will be without Terry Rozier and Tyler Herro.

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings Prediction

The Kings are at home with the rest advantage, and they’ve played their best ball over the last week and a half. The problem is the Kings are 18-24-1 ATS on the season and 9-14 SU at home. The Kings just aren’t a team I’m looking to back most nights. The Heat have cooled off a lot over the last month, but they’ve still shown what they’re capable of on hot nights. This is a game they can’t blow if they’re serious about staying out of the play-in tournament. We’re only laying a bucket. Give me the Heat.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Miami Heat -3.5