Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Prediction NBA Picks 11/6/24

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Phoenix Suns (6-1) vs Miami Heat (3-3)

November 6, 2024 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Phoenix Suns -5.5 / Miami Heat +5.5 — Over/Under: 222.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Heat and Phoenix Suns meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Footprint Center. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Wizards, lost to the Kings, and they play the Timberwolves and Nuggets next. The Miami Heat are averaging 108.8 points on 43.3 percent shooting and allowing 107.5 points on 44.3 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 21.8 points and 5.2 rebounds, while Jimmy Butler is averaging 18.7 points and 5 rebounds. Terry Rozier is the third double-digit scorer and Bam Adebayo is grabbing 8.5 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 38.2 percent from beyond the arc and 71.6 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

The Phoenix Suns beat the 76ers and Trail Blazers, and they play the Mavericks and Kings next. The Phoenix Suns are averaging 114.6 points on 47.1 percent shooting and allowing 110.7 points on 43.8 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 27.1 points and 6.6 rebounds, while Devin Booker is averaging 24.7 points and 4 rebounds. Bradley Beal is the third double-digit scorer and Royce O’Neale is grabbing 6.6 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 37.7 percent from beyond the arc and 80.4 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 36.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Injury Report

The Heat will be without Jaime Jaquez Jr. and Kevin Love. Bradley Beal is probable for the Suns despite an elbow injury.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

  • The Heat have lost each of their last seven night games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Suns have won each of their last 10 games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four night games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Suns have covered the spread in four of their last five games against Southeast Division opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Fourteen of the Heat’s last 15 night games against Pacific Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Four of the last five games between the Heat and Suns have gone UNDER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Suns rank 30th for second-chance points per game (9.3) this season.
  • The Suns rank 29th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (7.9).
  • The Heat rank 29th in the league for free throw percentage this season (71.6%).
  • The Heat rank 2nd in the league for Q2 opponent points per game this season (25.5).

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

The Miami Heat continue to have issues playing four quarters of basketball, as they’re historically bad in the third quarter. The Heat are also coming off a dreadful loss to the Kings, which could be tough to put in the rearview. The Phoenix Suns are healthy, rolling offensively, and are winning games. I’d need more points to consider the Heat. The Suns have the horses to put this game away. I’ll lay the chalk with the Suns at home.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Phoenix Suns -5.5

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