Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Prediction 1/25/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Miami Heat and Phoenix Suns meet Sunday in NBA action at the Mortgage Matchup Center. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat lost to the Trail Blazers, beat the Jazz, and they play the Magic next. The Heat have lost 6 of their last 10 games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 119.3 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 118.3 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 23.7 points and 3.7 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 21.9 points and 2.7 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.7 rebounds per game.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

The Phoenix Suns beat the 76ers, lost to the Hawks, and they play the Nets next. The Suns have won 13 of their last 19 games.

The Phoenix Suns are averaging 114.7 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 111.9 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 25.3 points and 4.1 rebounds, while Dillon Brooks is averaging 20.7 points and 3.3 rebounds. Grayson Allen is the third double-digit scorer and Jalen Green is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and 79.5 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.2 rebounds per game.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

• The Suns have won each of their last 17 games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Heat have lost each of their last eight games as road underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as road underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Suns have covered the spread in each of their last six games at Mortgage Matchup Center.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Suns have lost four of their last five night games against Southeast Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Heat have won 13 of their last 17 games at Mortgage Matchup Center.
• The Suns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Sunday night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Heat have covered the spread in nine of their last 11 road games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Western Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Heat’s last eight games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the last three games between the Heat and Suns have gone OVER the total points line.

Phoenix Suns Player Facts

• Oso Ighodaro is one of only 12 players in the league to have recorded 6+ steals in a game this season.
• Collin Gillespie ranks 14th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (3.7) this season.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Simone Fontecchio ranks 9th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (3.9) this season.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. ranks 4th amongst qualified Guards for FG% (51.4%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Suns rank 2nd in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (85.8).
• The Suns rank 2nd in the league for Q3 opponent points per game this season (26.9).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for Q1 points per game this season (31.8).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for H1 points per game this season (62.1).

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Injury Report

Devin Booker is out for the Suns. Jalen Green is questionable.

The Heat will be without Terry Rozier, Kel’el Ware, and Tyler Herro. Davion Mitchell is questionable.

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

The Heat have had consistent issues all season long and have 15 road losses. Throw in the fact the Heat are on the end of a back to back, and you can understand why the Heat are dogs. The Suns have also been cash cows this season with their 30-13-2 ATS record. However, the Suns won’t have Booker and could be down Green as well. The Heat did beat the Suns a couple of weeks ago and if the Suns are down their starting backcourt, you can argue they should be the favorites. We’ve been blindly backing the Suns this season but given their injury report, I’ll grab the points with the Heat.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Miami Heat +3.5