Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Prediction 12/5/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Miami Heat pay a visit to the Orlando Magic at the Kia Center on Friday night. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview 

The Miami Heat have been on a great run as they’ve won seven of their last nine games overall. They will be hoping to bounce back in this spot after getting beaten by the Mavericks in a 118-108 road defeat on Wednesday. Kel’el Ware led the team in scoring with 22 points and 10 rebounds on eight of 11 shooting off the bench, Bam Adebayo added 21 points on 10 of 19 shooting while Tyler Herro chipped in with 20 points.

As a team, the Heat shot just 40 percent from the field and 11 of 37 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 33 points in the first quarter to take the early lead. However, they just could never recover after the Mavericks closed the second quarter on a 26-10 run. Things only got worse in the second half where the Heat fell behind by 17 points which was a shame because they cut the deficit to just four points with 2:54 left on the clock before the Mavericks slipped away. Andrew Wiggins had a rough night as he shot just four of 18 from the field for his 11 points. 

Orlando Magic Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Orlando Magic have been in fine form as they’ve won nine of their last 12 games overall. However, they will be hoping for a better result in this one after having their three-game win streak halted by the Spurs in a 114-112 loss on Wednesday. Franz Wagner led the team with 25 points and six assists on nine of 17 shooting, Jalen Suggs added 24 points on 10 of 20 shooting while Desmond Bane chipped in with 14 points and six assists.

As a team, the Magic shot 45 percent from the field and nine of 27 from the 3-point line as they struggled to get going. They had to work so hard to overcome an early 15-point deficit to tie the game with 7.7 seconds left in the fourth quarter, before the Spurs’ De’Aaron Fox made the game-winning free throws with just 1.4 seconds left. 

Why the Orlando Magic will win

• The Magic have won each of their last six home games against Southeast Division opponents following a loss.
• The Heat have lost eight of their last 10 road games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Magic have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games against Southeast Division opponents after losing as favorites.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games as road underdogs on the first leg of a back-to-back.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Heat have won three of their last four games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Magic have lost 23 of their last 28 games against Southeast Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Heat have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 night games against Southeast Division opponents.
• The Magic have failed to cover the spread in six of their last eight games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Ten of the Heat’s last 11 road games on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of the Magic’s last seven home games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.

Orlando Magic Player Facts

• Wendell Carter Jr. is one of only two qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds per game (7.6) and three-point shooting percentage (42.4%) this season.
• Franz Wagner ranks 3rd in the league for fast break points (101) this season.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Bam Adebayo is one of only 13 qualified Centers in the league shooting at least 80% from the free-throw line this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Magic rank 1st in the league for free throw attempts per game this season (30.2).
• This season, 20.4% of the Magic’s scoring has come from the free-throw line – highest mark in the league.
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (93.6).
• The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (96.6).

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Prediction

The Miami Heat could be shorthanded for this one with Norman Powell and Tyler Herro both listed as questionable, while the Magic have ruled out Moritz Wagner with Paolo Banchero upgraded to questionable. These teams last met on opening night and it was the Magic who won by 125-121 back on Oct 22. The Heat were playing some great basketball and they had won eight of nine before losing to the Mavericks on Wednesday.

The Magic were enjoying a three-game win streak before they lost to the Spurs in a heartbreaker in their last outing. The Heat really struggled without Norman Powell and now they could be without Tyler Herro, so with that being said, I am leaning towards the Magic to get the win and cover at the modest line in this spot.

Peter Tran's Pick: Orlando -5.5