Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction 2/11/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Miami Heat and New Orleans Pelicans meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Smoothie King Center. Here’s a Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat lost to the Jazz, beat the Wizards, and they play the Hawks next. The Heat have lost 4 of their last 6 games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 119.5 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 117.6 points on 46 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 23 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 21.9 points and 2.7 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.5 rebounds per game.

New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview

The New Orleans Pelicans beat the Timberwolves and Kings, and they play the Bucks next. The Pelicans have lost 18 of their last 25 games.

The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 114.5 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 121 points on 48.2 percent shooting. Trey Murphy III is averaging 22.1 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Zion Williamson is averaging 21.4 points and 6.2 rebounds. Saddiq Bey is the third double-digit scorer, and Jordan Poole is dishing 3.1 assists. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 78.5 percent from the free-throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game.

Why the New Orleans Pelicans will win

• The favorites have won each of the Pelicans’ last 10 games at Smoothie King Center.
• The Heat have lost each of their last three night games.
• The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Pelicans’ last seven games at Smoothie King Center.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four night games against teams that held a losing record.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Pelicans have lost 17 of their last 18 night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Heat have won each of their last seven games against the Pelicans following a loss.
• The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last seven games following a home loss.
• The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games at Smoothie King Center against Southeast Division opponents that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Pelicans’ last nine games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Heat’s last four road games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Injury Report

The Pelicans will be without Dejounte Murray. Micah Peavy is questionable.

The Heat will be without Terry Rozier, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, and Tyler Herro. Andrew Wiggins is questionable.

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction

I’ve been saying for a while now that I have little confidence in the Heat, as they’re just too inconsistent, and then they go ahead and lose to the Jazz at home. The Jazz have openly admitted they’re tanking and benching players to avoid winning, and the Heat still lost. Now the Heat are down several rotation players. The Pelicans aren’t world beaters, but they’re coming off two wins and are home, where 9 of their 15 wins have come. The Heat should still win this game, and they’ve won 9 of the last 10 games against the Heat. Still, I’m rolling with the Pelicans. My confidence in the Heat is in the dirt.

Randy Chambers's Pick: New Orleans Pelicans +1.5