Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 1/6/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Miami Heat and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Target Center. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Pelicans, lost to the Timberwolves, and they play the Bulls next. The Heat have won 5 of their last 6 games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 119.2 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 117.6 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 23.7 points and 3.9 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 23.2 points and 2.3 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Jaime Jaquez Jr. is grabbing 5.5 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.4 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Heat and Wizards, and they play the Cavs next. The Timberwolves have won 13 of their last 18 games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 118.5 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 113.5 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 28.7 points and 5 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 22.6 points and 5.5 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Donte DiVincenzo is grabbing 4.3 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Timberwolves have won each of their last eight night games against the Heat following a road win.
• The Heat have lost six of their last seven games at Target Center.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as road underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last four night games against Heat teams that held a winning record.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Heat have won six of their last seven games as underdogs following a home win.
• The Timberwolves have lost 17 of their last 34 games as favorites against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 12 games as home favorites against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
• The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs following a home win.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Timberwolves’ last eight games at Target Center have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Heat’s last five road games against Northwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Julius Randle is one of only two players in the league to have recorded 12+ assists without a turnover in a game this season.
• Anthony Edwards is one of only four players in the league to have scored 30+ points in five straight games this season.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Andrew Wiggins is one of only five qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.
• Norman Powell ranks 8th amongst qualified players for fast break points per game (3.8) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for Q4 points per game this season (29.6).
• The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (4.0).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for pace this season (104.3).
• The Heat rank 2nd in the league for H1 points per game this season (61.8).

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report

The Timberwolves will be without Terrence Shannon Jr.

The Heat will be without Terry Rozier. Tyler Herro and Jaime Jaquez Jr. are questionable.

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

The Timberwolves should be favored, and they just beat the Heat a few days ago on the road. However, as I’ve said before, the Timberwolves play with their food often, and it’s led to a 16-20 ATS record on the season. The Heat have a chance to be as healthy as they’ve been in a while with the potential return of Herro. The Heat have also strung some wins together recently, and they’re 3-1 SU and ATS as an underdog since Christmas. The Timberwolves are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games when favorites of 5 or more points. Give me the Heat and free buckets.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Miami Heat +5.5