Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies Player Prop Picks 3/15/25 NBA Picks

The Miami Heat (29-35) are set to face the Memphis Grizzlies (41-24) on March 15, 2025, at FedExForum in Memphis. The Grizzlies have been in strong form this season, boasting a solid record that positions them favorably in the Western Conference standings. Conversely, the Heat have faced challenges, reflected in their sub-.500 record.​

Given the Grizzlies’ strong home record and the Heat’s recent offensive struggles, Memphis enters this matchup as the favorite. However, Miami’s potential lies in standout performances from players like Adebayo and Herro, which could make the game competitive.​

Ja Morant Over 23.5 Points

Ja Morant has been a pivotal figure for the Memphis Grizzlies during the 2024–25 NBA season. Morant has maintained an average of 21.8 points per game this season. We’ve seen Morant score 24+ points in his last 5 games, and in 2 of those games, he hit the 30 points mark. With Jackson Jr. still sidelined for Memphis, Morant has had to pick up his scoring production for Memphis to stay in games. Let’s ride with the hot hand and take the over on Morant’s points. 

Bam Adebayo Over 18.5 Points

Bam Adebayo has been a cornerstone for the Miami Heat during the 2024–25 NBA season. Starting all 42 games, he has averaged 17.7 points per game, contributing significantly on both ends of the court. Adebayo maintains a field goal percentage of 45.4%, with a three-point shooting accuracy of 26.7% and a free-throw percentage of 71.9%. He averages 9.8 rebounds, 4.5 assists, 1.4 steals, and 0.8 blocks per game. Since the Heat traded away Jimmy Butler, Adebayo’s scoring numbers have gradually increased. He’s coming off a slow game where he only scored 6 points, but before that, we saw him score 19+ in 6 straight games. I believe the last game was a fluke, and we will see him go back to his old ways in this one going against Memphis, who’s been apart of a lot of high-scoring games this season.

Andrew Wiggins Over 18.5 Points

Andrew Wiggins, with both the Warriors and Heat, has averaged 18.9 points. Wiggins maintains a field goal percentage of 46.0%, with an impressive 42.7% accuracy from three-point range, reflecting his efficiency as a scorer. At the free-throw line, he boasts a 77.0% success rate. In addition to his scoring, Wiggins contributes an average of 4.4 rebounds, 2.3 assists, 1.0 steals, and 0.7 blocks per game. We’ve seen Wiggins’ role has increased gradually with the longer he’s been with this Miami team. We’ve seen him score 19+ points in 4 of his last 5 games. It looks like oddsmakers are slow to adjust his point total line, and we should capitalize on that.