Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction NBA Picks 11/17/24

Pick details

Indiana Pacers (5-7) vs Miami Heat (5-6)

November 17, 2024 at 05:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Indiana Pacers -2.5 — Over/Under: 228.5

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The Miami Heat and the Indiana Pacers duke it out once again at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Sunday. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Pick.

Miami Heat 

The Miami Heat haven’t been at their best lately, but they will be looking to build some momentum after blowing past the Pacers in a 124-111 road win on Friday. Bam Adebayo led the team with 30 points, 11 rebounds, seven assists, and five steals, Tyler Herro added 20 points with five assists while Kevin Love chipped in with 15 points, seven rebounds, and four steals. As a team, the Heat shot 51 percent from the field and 15 of 42 from the 3-point line as they took control of the contest with 35 points in the second quarter to take the narrow lead into halftime before they went on another and finished with 37 points in the third quarter to push the margin out to 22 points which was more than enough to hold off a late run from the Pacers. The Heat will face the 76ers and Mavericks following this one.

Indiana Pacers 

Meanwhile, the Indiana Pacers have been in a rut as they’ve lost three of their past four games overall and they will be hoping to bounce back after getting scorched by the Heat in a rough loss on Friday. Obi Toppin led the team with 21 points on eight of 10 shooting, Tyrese Haliburton added 18 points with eight assists while Pascal Siakam and TJ McConnell each scored 14 points. As a team, the Pacers shot 51 percent from the field and 14 of 35 from the 3-point line as they did their best to stay within striking distance of the Heat until the third quarter where they trailed by 22 points. The Pacers just couldn’t get enough scoring from their starters with Myles Turner scoring just nine points and Bennedict Mathurin scoring just eight points. The Pacers will take on the Raptors and Rockets after this game.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

  • The Pacers have won each of their last 15 games as favorites after losing as favorites.
  • The Heat have lost each of their last four road games following a win.
  • The Pacers have covered the spread in each of their last 13 games following a home loss.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games following a win.

Total Points Facts

  • Eight of the Pacers’ last nine games as favorites against the Heat have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Ten of the Heat’s last 12 games as underdogs following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

The Heat could be shorthanded once again with Jimmy Butler listed as questionable for this one, while the Pacers are still missing Isaiah Jackson, Andrew Nembhard, and Aaron Nesmith. The Heat have yet to fully hit their stride this season, but they would’ve taken plenty of confidence from Friday’s win over the Pacers as they were able to do it without Butler in the lineup. It is always tough to beat the same team twice in a row in their own building, so I am expecting a response from the Pacers who didn’t look like themselves in the first meeting. 

Peter Tran's Pick: Indiana -2.5

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