Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction 1/10/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Miami Heat pay a visit to the Indiana Pacers at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Saturday night. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview 

The Miami Heat had their last game against the Chicago Bulls postponed due to unsafe court conditions. However, they were on a nice run with five wins from six games before they got stopped by the Timberwolves in a 122-94 road defeat on Tuesday. Norman Powell led the team in scoring with just 21 points on nine of 17 shooting, Tyler Herro added 17 points with nine rebounds and three assists off the bench while Andrew Wiggins chipped in with 10 points.

As a team, the Heat shot a miserly 36 percent from the field and 12 of 37 from the 3-point line as they got off to a decent start and worked hard to stay within striking distance in the first half. However, they went cold and scored just 40 points in the second half to allow the Timberwolves to beat them for the second time in four nights.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Indiana Pacers have been in terrible form as they’ve lost 15 of their last 18 games overall, but they will be feeling much better after they snapped an ugly 13-game losing streak with a 114-112 road win over the Hornets on Thursday. Pascal Siakam led the team with 30 points and 14 rebounds on 12 of 23 shooting, TJ McConnell added 23 points and eight assists off the bench while Aaron Nesmith chipped in with 16 points.

As a team, the Pacers shot 50 percent from the field and 12 of 27 from the 3-point line as they squandered an early 12-point lead. They looked to be headed for another defeat after trailing by three points late in the game, before the Pacers closed the final 51.1 seconds on a 5-0 run to escape with the long overdue win.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

• The Heat have lost 10 of their last 12 games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
• The Pacers have won each of their last two games as underdogs against the Heat following a win.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as road favorites against Central Division opponents.
• The home team has covered the spread in three of the last four games between the Heat and Pacers.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Pacers have lost each of their last 18 night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Heat have won each of their last seven night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 12 games against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
• The Heat have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games on the first leg of a back-to-back against Eastern Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last nine night games between the Heat and Pacers have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of the Heat’s last eight road games following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Indiana Pacers Player Facts

• Aaron Nesmith is one of only seven qualified players to have made a three in every game this season.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Andrew Wiggins is one of only six qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.
• Norman Powell ranks 6th amongst qualified players for fast break points per game (3.9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pacers rank 30th in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (28.5).
• The Pacers rank 30th in the league for Q2 points per game this season (27.2).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for pace this season (104.4).
• The Heat rank 29th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.6%).

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

The Heat don’t have any players listed on the injury report for this game, while the Pacers have ruled out Bennedict Mathurin, Tyrese Haliburton and Isaiah Jackson, with Andrew Nembhard listed as questionable. The Pacers were able to get a win over the Hornets in their last game, which they so desperately needed just for their own confidence, but they were ice-cold before that narrow win. Now they have to take on a well-rested Heat team, who have been on a roll before having their last game postponed. These teams last met on Dec 27 and it was the Heat who romped to a 142-116 win, and I am expecting a similar result in this one.

Peter Tran's Pick: Miami -7.5