Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Prediction NBA Picks 12/29/24

Pick details

Houston Rockets (21-10) vs Miami Heat (15-14)

December 29, 2024 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Houston Rockets -6.5 / Miami Heat +6.5 — Over/Under: 215.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Heat and Houston Rockets meet Sunday in NBA action at the Toyota Center. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Magic, lost to the Hawks, and they play the Pelicans, Pacers, and Jazz next. The Miami Heat are averaging 112.8 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 109.8 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 23.8 points and 5.7 rebounds, while Jimmy Butler is averaging 18.5 points and 5.8 rebounds. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer and Terry Rozier is grabbing 4 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37.9 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.9 rebounds per game.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets beat the Pelicans, lost to the Timberwolves, and they play the Mavericks, Celtics, and Lakers next. The Houston Rockets are averaging 113.4 points on 44.4 percent shooting and allowing 106.7 points on 43.7 percent shooting. Jalen Green is averaging 19.3 points and 4.5 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 19 points and 10.6 rebounds. Fred VanVleet is the third double-digit scorer and Dillon Brooks is grabbing 4 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 32.7 percent from beyond the arc and 76.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

  • The favorites have won each of the last nine games between the Heat and Rockets.
  • The Heat have lost five of their last six road games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last six games after losing as favorites.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games at Toyota Center when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Rockets’ last six games as favorites following a home loss has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Heat’s last three night games at Toyota Center has gone OVER the total points line.

Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Prediction

The Miami Heat are still without Butler, and they’re on the end of a back-to-back, which is the worst spot to be when down the best player. The Heat have seen 9 of their 14 losses come on the road this season. The Houston Rockets are an above-average team at both ends of the floor and will be eager to rebound from a collapse to the Timberwolves. The Rockets have 19 covers, which makes them one of the more profitable teams in the NBA so far. I’ll lay the chalk with the Rockets.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Houston Rockets -6.5

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