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Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Prediction NBA Picks 11/12/24
Pick details
Detroit Pistons (4-7) vs Miami Heat (3-5)
November 12, 2024 at 07:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit Pistons +1.5 — Over/Under: 219.5
The Miami Heat travel to Little Caesars Arena to battle the Detroit Pistons on Tuesday night. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Pick.
Miami HeatÂ
The Miami Heat have been doing it tough as they’ve lost four of their last six games overall, but they will be feeling much better after arresting a three-game skid with a 95-94 road win over the Timberwolves on Sunday. Tyler Herro led the team with 26 points on nine of 15 shooting, Nikola Jovic added 15 points off the bench, while Terry Rozier chipped in with 11 points. As a team, the Heat shot 44 percent from the field and 11 of 31 from the 3-point line as they scored just 16 points in the third quarter to fall behind by eight points, before they closed the final 4:15 of the game on a 15-6 run to escape with the much-needed road win.
Detroit PistonsÂ
Meanwhile, the Detroit Pistons have been in decent form as they’ve won four of their last seven games overall, but they will be eager to bounce back in this one after coming up just short to the Rockets in a 101-99 home defeat on Sunday. Cade Cunningham led the team with 26 points, eight rebounds, and nine assists, Isaiah Stewart added 16 points with eight rebounds and two blocks while Malik Beasley chipped in with 15 points off the bench. As a team, the Pistons shot 42 percent from the field and 11 of 34 from the 3-point line as they rallied back from a 15-point deficit to take the lead in the fourth quarter, only to go cold and score just four points in the final 3:02 to allow the Rockets off the hook. The Pistons will face the Bucks following this game.
Why the Detroit Pistons will win
- The Pistons have won each of their last two games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Heat have lost 10 of their last 17 games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 12 games as favorites against Central Division opponents following a win.
- The Pistons have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs against the Heat following a loss.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Pistons’ last six night games against the Heat following a home loss has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Heat’s last four games as favorites has gone UNDER the total points line.
Miami Heat Player Facts
- Terry Rozier ranks T12th amongst qualified players for FT% (90.9%) this season.
- Haywood Highsmith ranks 6th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.6) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pistons rank 29th in the league for Q4 points per game this season (25.2).
- The Pistons rank 3rd in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (40.8).
- The Heat rank 30th in the league for H2 points per game this season (51.3).
- The Heat rank 30th for points in the paint (390) this season.
Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Prediction
The Heat are still shorthanded with Jimmy Butler ruled out, while the Pistons are keeping an eye on Jalen Duren who is currently listed as questionable. The Heat haven’t been able to get going yet this season, but they were good enough to take down a red-hot Timberwolves team in their last game. In contrast, the Pistons have been playing better than expected, but they just lost to the Rockets in a close loss in their last outing. It’s hard to split these two squads at the moment, but I think the Pistons have been playing the better basketball lately and I think they represent decent value as the home underdog in this spot.
