Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 12/3/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Miami Heat and Dallas Mavericks meet Wednesday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Clippers, lost to the Pistons, and they play the Magic next. The Heat have won 22 their last 33 regular season games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 123.6 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 118.2 points on 43.8 percent shooting. Tyler Herro is averaging 25.7 points and 5.3 rebounds, while Norman Powell is averaging 24.7 points and 2.4 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 32 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks beat the Clippers and Nuggets, and they play the Thunder next. The Mavs have lost 20 of their last 29 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 110.2 points on 44.4 percent shooting and allowing 115.9 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 19.3 points and 2.7 assists, while Cooper Flagg is averaging 16.7 points and 6.6 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 32.2 percent from beyond the arc and 75.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 32.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Mavericks have won each of their last three games as home underdogs against Southeast Division opponents.
• The Heat have lost four of their last five games at American Airlines Center.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Mavericks’ last four games at American Airlines Center.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games at American Airlines Center.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Mavericks have lost 14 of their last 15 night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Heat have won 12 of their last 13 games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The road team has covered the spread in five of the Heat’s last six games.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three home games against Southeast Division opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Mavericks’ last six night games against Southeast Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the Heat’s last eight night games against the Mavericks following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Max Christie ranks 5th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (45.6%) this season.
• Cooper Flagg ranks 2nd amongst qualified rookies for points per game (17.0) this season.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Kel’el Ware ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (15.6) this season.
• Andrew Wiggins is one of only eight qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for H1 points per game this season (53.2).
• The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for offensive rating this season (107.5).
• The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (43.0).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (45.0).

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Injury Report

The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, and Dante Exum. Daniel Gafford and P.J. Washington are questionable.

The Heat will be without Terry Rozier. Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, and Keshad Johnson are questionable.

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

Don’t look now, but the Mavericks have won two straight games, cashing monster underdog tickets. However, it’s going to take more than that to move the needle. The Mavs have been awful dating back to the end of last season. The Heat continue to impress, and they’re 13-8 ATS on the season. The Heat already beat the Mavs a couple of weeks ago, and they’re healthier than they were before, getting Herro back in the mix. I’ve been on the Heat a lot up to this point, and it’s paid off. I’m not stepping in front of them for the Mavs. I’ll lay the reasonable number with the Heat on the road.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Miami Heat -4.5