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Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Player Prop Picks 2/13/25 NBA Picks

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Dallas Mavericks (28-26) vs Miami Heat (25-27)

February 13, 2025 at 08:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Dallas Mavericks +1.5 — Over/Under: 221

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The Miami Heat (25-26) will face the Dallas Mavericks (28-26) on February 13, 2025, at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. The game is scheduled to begin at 5:30 PM PST. The Heat are coming off a 103-85 loss to the Boston Celtics. In that game, they struggled offensively, shooting 33.7% from the field and 24.4% from three-point range. Bam Adebayo led the team with 22 points and 12 rebounds. The team has been adjusting to the departure of Jimmy Butler to the Golden State Warriors, with Andrew Wiggins making his debut for Miami, contributing 11 points, 5 rebounds, and 5 assists.

The Mavericks narrowly lost 129-128 to the Sacramento Kings in their last game. Kyrie Irving led the team with 30 points, 9 rebounds, and 7 assists. However, the Mavericks are facing injury challenges, particularly with center Daniel Gafford, who suffered a right knee sprain and will be out for two weeks. O.M. Prosper is expected to start at center in Gafford’s absence. 

 

Bam Adebayo Over 16.5 Points

Miami Heat center Bam Adebayo is averaging 16.5 points per game in the 2024-25 NBA season. Adebayo’s scoring has been instrumental in the Heat’s offensive strategies, providing both scoring and playmaking from the center position.

Bam Adebayo has been on a roll as of late scoring 18 or more points in his last seven games.  Back on February 1st, we saw him have a 30-point night against the San Antonio Spurs. Since Jimmy Butler has left this team Adebayo has had to step up in a big way to help guys out like Tyler Herro to keep this offense rolling. The Heat are dealing with multiple guys that are questionable for this game. One thing about Adebayo is that he’s extremely reliable and rarely misses a game. If the Heats want to finish this season off in the right way expect Adebayo to be a focal point of this offense.

Kyrie Irving Over 27.5 Points

Dallas Mavericks guard Kyrie Irving has been a significant offensive contributor during this NBA season. Over 49 games, he is averaging 24.2 points per game, ranking him 16th in the league. His shooting efficiency includes a field goal percentage of 47.4%. Irving’s consistent scoring has been instrumental in the Mavericks’ offensive strategies this season, providing both scoring and stability in the backcourt.

Kyrie Irving is coming off a monstrous game where he scored 30 points against the Sacramento Kings. This Mavericks team is dealing with injuries to both Anthony Davis and PJ Washington which are two of the main scores for this Mavericks team. Without those two in the lineup, Kyrie Irving will be forced to put up more shots than usual. If the Mavericks want to keep up in this game Kyrie will have to score at least 30 points in my opinion. 

Tyler Herro Over 5.5 Assists

 Miami Heat guard Tyler Herro is averaging 5.6 assists per game during this NBA season, ranking him 30th in the league. Herro’s playmaking has been a key component of the Heat’s offense, contributing to their overall success this season. Notably, on January 28, 2025, he recorded a double-double with 30 points and 12 assists in a double-overtime victory against the Orlando Magic. 

We’ve seen Tyler Herro have over five assists in his last eight games. Teams are putting a lot of pressure on Tyler Herro and forcing him to move the ball around rather than being a pure scorer. We’ve seen guards have successful games facilitating the ball against this Dallas Mavericks team. The Mavericks are allowing 26.7 assists per game to opposing teams which is well above the league average.

Brad Francis's Pick: See Above

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