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Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 12/17/2025 Today’s NBA Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Memphis Grizzlies | Minnesota Timberwolves |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 12-14 | 17-9 |
| Spread | +7.5 -110 | -7.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | +235 | -290 |
| Total | Over 233.5 (-105) | Under 233.5 (-115) |
| Where | Target Center, Minneapolis, MN | |
| When | Wednesday, December 17, 2025 | |
| Time | 08:00 PM EST | |
| TV | FanDuel SN North | |
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies beat the Clippers, lost to the Jazz, and they play the Wizards next. The Grizzlies have won 8 of their last 11 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 114.1 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 115.9 points on 47 percent shooting. Ja Morant is averaging 17.7 points and 3.5 rebounds, while Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 17.4 points and 2 assists. Zach Edey is the third double-digit scorer, and Cedric Coward is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 80.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 36.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.9 rebounds per game.
Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview
The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Warriors and Kings, and they play the Thunder next. The Timberwolves have won 7 of their last 8 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 119.8 points on 48.7 percent shooting and allowing 114.5 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 28.7 points and 4.9 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 23.1 points and 5.8 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Naz Reid is grabbing 6.1 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 38 percent from beyond the arc and 77.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game.
Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win
- The Grizzlies have lost each of their last 17 games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Timberwolves have won each of their last 11 games at Target Center against teams that held a losing record.
- The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games as road underdogs against Northwest Division opponents following a win.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in five of their last six games as home favorites against Southwest Division opponents.
Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win
- The Grizzlies have won three of their last four games as road underdogs.
- The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven Wednesday night games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Grizzlies have covered the spread in each of their last four games at Target Center when playing with a rest disadvantage.
Total Points Facts
- Eleven of the Timberwolves’ last 12 night games against Southwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of the Grizzlies’ last seven games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts
- Naz Reid ranks 2nd amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made per game (2.4) this season.
- Julius Randle ranks 3rd amongst qualified Centers for assists per game (5.8) this season.
Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts
- Jock Landale ranks T2nd amongst qualified Centers for 3P% (42.9%) this season.
- Cedric Coward ranks 9th amongst qualified Guards for rebounds per game (6.2) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (33.8).
- The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (4.0).
- The Grizzlies rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (21.2).
- The Grizzlies rank 3rd in the league for rebounds per game this season (46.1).
Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report
The Timberwolves will be without Mike Conley. Anthony Edwards is questionable with a foot issue.
The Grizzlies will be without Scotty Pippen Jr., Ty Jerome, Zach Edey, John Konchar, Javon Small, and Cam Spencer. Brandon Clarke and Ja Morant are questionable.
Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction
That injury report for the Grizzlies gets uglier by the day, and it’s hard to make a case for them if Morant is out on top of Spencer being a surprising addition. The Timberwolves are 7-3 SU and ATS in the last 10 games against the Grizzlies. I get why the line is what it is. However, the Grizzlies continue to find ways to win and cover despite being severely undermanned.
I will also continue to say that the Timberwolves are a team that plays with their food a lot, and that’s led to them being 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games when favorites of 5 or more points. Two of those failed covers were outright losses. Also, we’re seeing Edwards on the injury report. Check for updates before betting, but at the time of this writing, I’m grabbing the points with the Grizzlies.
