Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers Prediction 3/1/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Memphis Grizzlies and the Indiana Pacers collide at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Sunday night. Here’s a Memphis Grizzlies vs. Indiana Pacers prediction. This article will include a Memphis Grizzlies vs. Indiana Pacers pick.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview 

The Memphis Grizzlies have been in a terrible slump as they’ve lost 13 of their last 17 games overall, but they will be feeling better after they put a halt to a three-game slide with a 124-105 road win over the Mavericks on Friday. Cam Spencer led the team with 25 points on nine of 16 shooting off the bench; Oliver-Maxence Prosper added 16 points with 10 rebounds, while Scotty Pippen Jr. chipped in with 15 points.

As a team, the Grizzlies shot 51 percent from the field and 12 of 32 from the 3-point line as they swarmed the Mavericks from the start and poured in 64 points in the first half to open up a 20-point halftime lead before they went on another run in the third quarter to push the margin out to 34 points at one stage. 

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Indiana Pacers have been in a slump of their own as they’ve lost nine of their last 11 games overall and they are now on a five-game losing streak after getting trounced by the Hornets in a 133-109 loss on Thursday. Andrew Nembhard led the team with 20 points and seven assists; Micah Potter added 19 points on six of 11 shooting off the bench, while Jarace Walker chipped in with 16 points.

As a team, the Pacers shot 47 percent from the field and 11 of 35 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 34 points in the first quarter to take the early lead, but it didn’t last long at all as the Pacers were always fighting a losing battle after getting smashed by 36-12 in a nightmare second quarter. The Pacers ended up trailing by as many as 31 points in this one as they just had no answer for the Hornets’ ball movement and red-hot perimeter shooting. 

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

• The home team has won seven of the last eight games between the Grizzlies and Pacers.
• The Grizzlies have lost 12 of their last 14 night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Pacers have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

• The Grizzlies have won eight of their last nine games against Central Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The Pacers have lost seven of their last eight games against Southwest Division opponents.
• The Grizzlies have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games against the Pacers.
• The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games following a loss.

Total Points: Facts

• Each of the Pacers’ last six games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the Grizzlies’ last six night games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pacers have used 33 different starting fives this season—equal to the most in the league.
• The Pacers rank 30th in the league for points per possession this season (1.10).
• The Grizzlies are one of only three teams to record four or more wins when trailing by a margin of 10+ points at HT this season.
• The Grizzlies rank 27th in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (39.3).

Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

The Grizzlies are still missing Ja Morant, Zach Edey, Brandon Clarke, Cedric Coward, and Santi Aldama, to name a few, while the Pacers have ruled out Aaron Nesmith, Tyrese Haliburton, and Pascal Siakam, with Andrew Nembhard listed as questionable.

The Grizzlies are mired in their worst slump of the season, which is understandable given the long list of injuries they’ve had to deal with, while the Pacers have continued their nightmare season with another blowout defeat to make it five losses in a row. You couldn’t back either side with any confidence at the moment, but if Nembhard sits out for the Pacers, I like the Grizzlies to escape with a narrow road win here.

Peter Tran's Pick: Memphis -1