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Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Player Prop Picks 4/11/25 NBA Picks

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Denver Nuggets (48-32) vs Memphis Grizzlies (47-32)

April 11, 2025 at 09:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Denver Nuggets -7 — Over/Under: 239.5

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The Memphis Grizzlies will host the Denver Nuggets at FedExForum in Memphis on Thursday, April 10, 2025, in a critical Western Conference matchup. Both teams are tied for fifth place in the standings with a 47-32 record, making this game crucial for playoff positioning. Memphis enters the game on a three-game winning streak, including a recent victory over the Charlotte Hornets.

Ja Morant has been in top form, averaging 28 points and eight assists in recent games, and rookie Zach Edey has been a force in the paint, posting 17 points and 19 rebounds in the win over Charlotte. On the other hand, the Nuggets are dealing with the fallout from firing head coach Michael Malone with only three games remaining in the regular season, a move that could affect their team dynamics. Despite the coaching change, Nikola Jokić, the reigning MVP, remains a dominant force, averaging 29.8 points, 12.8 rebounds, and 10.2 assists per game, while Jamal Murray continues to contribute significantly with 21.6 points and 6.0 assists per game. The teams have split their previous matchups this season, with Denver winning 122-110 in November and Memphis winning 105-90 in the same month.

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Christian Braun Over 15.5 Points

Christian Braun averages 15.5 points, 5.2 rebounds, and 2.5 assists per game, with a field goal percentage of 58.0%. ​Braun’s efficiency is particularly notable, ranking eighth in the league for field goal percentage. Braun is coming off a 25-point game against the Kings, and in the game before that, he had 30 points against the Pacers. He has scored 15+ points in 7 straight games. Let’s continue to ride the hot hand in this one. 

Ja Morant Over 6.5 Assists 

Memphis Grizzlies point guard Ja Morant is averaging 23.0 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 7.3 assists per game in the 2024-25 NBA season.  His assist numbers reflect his role as a primary facilitator for the team.​ He’s coming off a solid night facilitating the ball, where he had 8 assists against the Hornets. The Nuggets do a lot of great things, but they do allow a ton of assists. The Nuggets are giving up 29 assists per game to opposing teams, which is the 3rd most in the whole league. 

Nikola Jokic Over 31.5 Points

Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.8 points, 12.8 rebounds, and 10.2 assists per game, with a field goal percentage of 57.5%.  These numbers not only highlight his scoring and playmaking abilities but also position him as a leading candidate for the MVP award.​ On April 1st, Jokić achieved a season-high 61 points in a game against the Minnesota Timberwolves, underscoring his scoring prowess. His consistent triple-doubles have been instrumental in the Nuggets’ success, contributing significantly to their standing in the Western Conference.​ With what’s on the line in this game, we should expect to see a strong game from the Nuggets’ best player. 

Brad Francis's Pick: See Above

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