Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors Player Prop Picks 12/3/24

The matchup between the Indiana Pacers and the Toronto Raptors on December 3 will feature two teams with contrasting storylines. For the Pacers, the season has been a bit inconsistent after a strong playoff push last year. Their offense, which ranked second in the league last season, has been less explosive this year. Tyrese Haliburton has had a down season in terms of his scoring and shooting percentages, and the Pacers have been dealing with some injuries. However, their key player, Pascal Siakam, remains a reliable scorer, averaging 20.8 points per game. Myles Turner continues to be a defensive anchor, averaging nearly 2 blocks per game.

This game will likely come down to which team can play more consistent defense, as both are scoring at a high rate but also allowing a lot of points. The Pacers will need to overcome their offensive struggles, while the Raptors will hope for another big performance from Barrett and Barnes to carry their momentum from an outright win against the Heat in their last game. 

RJ Barrett Over 22.5 Points

RJ Barrett has been impressive during the 2024-25 NBA season, significantly improving his scoring efficiency and overall game. In 18 games, he is averaging 23.7 points per game, while also contributing 6.3 rebounds and 6.2 assists. He has showcased his scoring ability with a solid 45.7% field goal percentage and a more consistent 35.6% from beyond the arc. His ability to score efficiently has been a key part of his game, with a notable improvement in true shooting percentage.

RJ Barrett has been streaky this season but when he gets hot it’s better to jump on the train rather than fade him. He’s coming off a monstrous game where he dropped 37 points. In the game before that, he has 25 points. Now he has a favorable matchup going against the Pacers who allow a ton of points and play at a fast pace. 

Jakob Poeltl Over 10.5 Rebounds

Jakob Poeltl has been a dominant force on the boards during the 2024-25 NBA season, averaging 11.9 rebounds per game. He has played in 20 games and is logging about 32.4 minutes per contest. His rebounding is strong across both offensive and defensive categories, with 4.3 offensive rebounds and 7.6 defensive rebounds per game. Poeltl’s shooting efficiency has been notable, connecting on 59.5% of his field goals. His consistency in rebounding has been a key element of his role with the Toronto Raptors this season.

Poeltl has been quietly one of the best rebounders in the league this season. We’ve seen him clear this line of 10.5 rebounds in 7 of his last 10 games. In that span, we’ve seen him have 19, 18, and 16 rebound games. He’s fully capable of clearing this number and in a game that going to be played at a fast pace he’ll have plenty of opportunities to clean up on the glass.

Tyrese Haliburton Under 18.5 Points

Through 21 games, Haliburton is averaging 17.0 points per game. He is shooting 40.5% from the field, including a 33.5% mark from three-point range, and also a free-throw percentage of 85.5%. Haliburton has been up and down this season scoring the ball. He’s had some big nights highlighted by games like his 34-point performance against New Orleans (November 25, 2024). He has also contributed significantly in other areas, with 8.6 assists per game and 3.4 rebounds, rounding out his all-around game.

Haliburton is a playmaker and a great point guard but he’s been inconsistent when it comes to a scoring perspective. We saw him have 4 straight games where he scored 20+ points then was only able to put up 8 points in his last game against Memphis. Before that stretch of games, he failed to score over 18 points in 5 straight games. Haliburton is more of a facilitator rather than a scorer for this Pacers team.