Feb 3, 2026; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Indiana Pacers guard Ben Sheppard (26) dribbles the ball while Utah Jazz guard Isaiah Collier (8) defends in the second half at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Mandatory Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-Imagn Images
Trevor Ruszkowski-Imagn Images

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction 2/6/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Indiana Pacers Milwaukee Bucks
Team Records 13-38 20-29
Spread -1.5 -110 +1.5 -110
Moneyline -120 +100
Total Over 224.5 (-105) Under 224.5 (-115)
Where Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
When Friday, February 6, 2026
Time 08:00 PM EST
TV NBA League Pass

The Indiana Pacers pay a visit to the Milwaukee Bucks at the Fiserv Forum on Friday night. Here’s a Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Pick.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview 

The Indiana Pacers have been doing it tough lately as they’ve dropped six of their last nine games overall. But they will be hoping to snap a two-game skid after getting beaten by the slumping Jazz in a 131-122 loss on Tuesday. Jarace Walker led the starters with 24 points, six rebounds and four assists, Quenton Jackson provided the spark off the bench with 24 points on nine of 10 shooting while Johnny Furphy chipped in with 14 points, seven rebounds and six assists.

As a team, the Pacers shot 54 percent from the field and 14 of 39 from the 3-point line as they poured in 32 points in the first quarter to take an early 10-point lead. However, that didn’t last long at all as the scores were already tied by halftime. We kept waiting for the Pacers to fight back in front, but they leaked 75 points in the second half and didn’t have a response after falling behind in the fourth quarter.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Bucks are trying to move on from their season-worst slump as they are now aiming for a third straight victory after outlasting the Pelicans in a 141-137 overtime win on Wednesday. Ryan Rollins led the team with 27 points on 10 of 19 shooting, AJ Green added 20 points on seven of 13 shooting, and Kevin Porter chipped in with 18 points, six rebounds and nine assists off the bench.

As a team, the Bucks shot a sizzling 61 percent from the field and 21 of 47 from the 3-point line as they got off to a sluggish start and trailed for most of the first half. Before they rallied to force the game into overtime, they opened with a crucial 7-2 run to escape with a gritty win at home. 

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

  • The Bucks have won 12 of their last 13 games against Pacers teams that held a losing record.
  • The Pacers have lost 23 of their last 26 road games.
  • The Bucks have covered the spread in each of their last five games against Central Division opponents.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

  • The Bucks have lost seven of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
  • The Pacers have won five of their last six night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine home games against Eastern Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
  • The Pacers have covered the spread in six of their last seven games as road favorites against Central Division opponents following a loss.

Total Points Facts

  • Eight of the Bucks’ last nine home games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Pacers’ last five games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts

  • Ryan Rollins is one of only 12 qualified players in the league to be leading their team in points (16.8) and assists (5.5) per game this season.
  • Kevin Porter Jr. ranks 18th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for FT% (85.1%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Bucks rank 30th for second chance points (564) this season.
  • The Bucks rank 30th for second chance points per game (11.5) this season.
  • The Pacers rank 30th in the league for offensive rating this season (109.6).
  • The Pacers rank 30th in the league for effective field goal percentage this season (51.8%).

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction

The Pacers haven’t yet said if the newly acquired Ivica Zubac will play in this one, but there’s plenty of good news with Pascal Siakam, Aaron Nesmith, TJ McConnell, and Andrew Nembhard set to return. They have also ruled out Giannis Antetokounmpo and Gary Harris. It’s difficult to split these two teams currently, as both teams have been struggling, but the Pacers rested their starters in their last game.

They will be ready to go against the Bucks, who were ice-cold before their overtime win on Wednesday. This is a game I would rather stay away from, but if I had to choose, I would lean towards the Pacers to get a much needed win on the road.

Peter Tran's Pick: Indiana +1

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