Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction 12/27/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Indiana Pacers and Miami Heat meet Saturday in NBA action at the Kaseya Center. Here’s a Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Pick.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers lost to the Celtics and Bucks, and they play the Rockets next. The Pacers have lost 25 of their last 31 games.

The Indiana Pacers are averaging 109.2 points on 42.9 percent shooting and allowing 117.7 points on 47.6 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 23.5 points and 6.8 rebounds, while Bennedict Mathurin is averaging 18.4 points and 5.7 rebounds. Andrew Nembhard is the third double-digit scorer, and Aaron Nesmith is grabbing 4.5 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 32.1 percent from beyond the arc and 77.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat lost to the Raptors, beat the Hawks, and they play the Nuggets next. The Heat have lost 8 of their last 10 games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 119.2 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 117.6 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 23.7 points and 3.9 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 23.2 points and 2.3 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Jaime Jaquez Jr. is grabbing 5.5 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.4 rebounds per game.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Pacers have lost each of their last 14 night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Heat have won each of their last six night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Heat have covered the spread in five of their last six games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

• The Heat have lost eight of their last nine games as favorites against Central Division opponents following a win.
• The underdogs have won each of the Heat’s last three games at Kaseya Center.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 12 games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in 10 of the last 11 games between the Pacers and Heat at Kaseya Center.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Pacers’ last nine night games at Kaseya Center following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the last eight night games between the Pacers and Heat have gone OVER the total points line.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Andrew Wiggins is one of only five qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.
• Norman Powell ranks 12th amongst qualified players for points per 36 minutes (27.2) this season.

Indiana Pacers Player Facts

• Andrew Nembhard ranks 4th amongst qualified Forwards for assists per game (6.5) this season.
• Bennedict Mathurin ranks 8th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for FT% (86.3%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Heat rank 29th in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (41.2).
• The Heat rank 2nd in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (92.4).
• The Pacers rank 30th in the league for three-point percentage this season (32.5%).
• The Pacers rank 30th in the league for Q2 points per game this season (26.9).

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Injury Report

The Heat will be without Terry Rozier and Tyler Herro. Bam Adebayo and Keshad Johnson are questionable.

The Pacers will be without Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, Aaron Nesmith, and Ben Sheppard. Isaiah Jackson is questionable.

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction 

The Heat should be favored at home, as the Pacers keep losing, and they’re throwing out a banged up roster on the end of a back to back. However, let’s not act like the Heat are lighting the world on fire. The Heat lost 8 of their last 9 games heading into last night, and they haven’t won two straight games in a month. The underdog has covered 7 of the last 9 games between the Pacers and Heat. There’s also a chance Bam is still out. Just because the Heat beat the Hawks last night doesn’t make everything all good in sunny Miami. Give me the points with the Pacers.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Indiana Pacers +8.5