Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets Player Prop Picks NBA Picks 11/20/24

The Indiana Pacers face off against the Houston Rockets on November 12, 2024, at the Toyota Center in Houston. The Pacers are averaging 114.4 points per game, the Pacers are 12th in offensive scoring but struggle defensively, allowing 117.6 points (25th in the league). Key players include Pascal Siakam (20.5 PPG, 6.5 RPG, 4.1 APG) and Tyrese Haliburton (16.1 PPG, 8.5 APG).

The Rockets have a stronger defensive profile, they allow just 105.7 points per game (3rd in the NBA). Offensively, they average 113.6 points. Alperen Şengün leads the team with 17.5 points, 11.1 rebounds, and 4.9 assists per game, supported by Jalen Green (19.7 PPG). The Rockets enter as favorites, largely due to their rebounding dominance and defensive efficiency. The Pacers will need strong performances from their stars and improved defense to contend. This game will test Houston’s consistency against a fast-paced Indiana offense.

Tyrese Haliburton Under 9.5 Assists 

Tyrese Haliburton has been showcasing his playmaking skills this season but has a tough challenge on Wednesday. He currently averaging 8.5 assists per game through 14 contests. His standout performances include multiple games with double-digit assists, such as a 14-assist outing against the New York Knicks on November 10, where he also added 35 points and a 12-assist effort versus the Dallas Mavericks on November 4. These performances highlight his ability to orchestrate the offense effectively while maintaining a scoring presence.

I like this spot to sell high on Haliburton’s props. This Houston defense will give him and his teammates troubles all night. The Rockets are allowing 21.8 assists per game to opposing teams which is the fewest in the whole league. They’re also allowing the 5th fewest points to opposing teams this season. This isn’t a favorable matchup for Haliburton.

Alperen Sengun Over 10.5 Rebounds

Alperen Şengün has been a dominant presence on the boards so far this season, averaging 11.4 rebounds per game across 14 games. His rebounding includes an impressive balance of 7.8 defensive rebounds and 3.6 offensive rebounds per game. This reflects his ability to control the glass on both ends of the court.

Sengun’s standout performances include multiple games with double-digit rebounds, such as an 11-rebound effort against the Chicago Bulls on November 17, 2024. I can see him having another massive day on the boards against this Pacers team. The Pacers are giving up 53.4 rebounds a game to opposing teams which is the 10th most in the league. Pascal Siakam and Myler Turner will have a tough time with Sengun on Wednesday. 

Fred VanVleet Over 16.5 Points

Fred VanVleet has been a key scorer for the Houston Rockets so far this season. He’s averaging 15.6 points per game shooting 40.1% from the field. He has struggled from beyond the arc shooting 31.3% which is below his career average. VanVleet’s recent performances include notable highs, such as a 28-point outing against the Chicago Bulls where he shot 62.5% from the field. However, consistency remains a focus, as he’s had games with field goal percentages below 30%.

VanVleet is fully capable of getting over this number and we’ve seen him heat up over his last two games putting up 25+ points in both matchups. This is a favorable matchup against the Pacers who like to play at a fast pace and also typically play loose defense. I expect this Rockets team to exploit this Pacers defense and Fred VanVleet will be a big part of doing that.