Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 4/6/25 NBA Picks

The Indiana Pacers and Denver Nuggets meet Sunday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Pick.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview 

The Indiana Pacers beat the Jazz and Hornets, and they play the Wizards, Cavs, and Magic next. The Pacers have won 11 of their last 14 games and are the fourth seed in the East. 

The Indiana Pacers are averaging 117.2 points on 49.1 percent shooting and allowing 115.4 points on 47.6 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 20.5 points and 7 rebounds, while Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 18.6 points and 3.5 rebounds. Benedict Mathurin is the third double-digit scorer, and Myles Turner is grabbing 6.6 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 79.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.4 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview 

The Denver Nuggets lost to the Warriors and Spurs, and they play the Kings, Grizzlies, and Rockets next. The Nuggets have lost six of their last nine games and have dropped to the fourth seed. 

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 120.9 points on 50.7 percent shooting and allowing 116.7 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.3 points and 12.8 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 21.6 points and 3.8 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer, and Christian Braun is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.1 percent from beyond the arc and 77 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 36.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

• The Nuggets have won each of their last eight night games against the Pacers.
• The Pacers have lost 13 of their last 14 games at Ball Arena.
• The Nuggets have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games against the Pacers following a loss.
• The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games following a home win.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

• The Nuggets have lost five of their last seven games as favorites.
• The Pacers have won nine of their last 13 games as road underdogs.
• The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Pacers have covered the spread in each of their last six Sunday games.

Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report

The Nuggets will be without DaRon Holmes II, while Jamal Murray is questionable.

The Pacers will be without Isaiah Jackson and Pascal Siakam, while Ben Sheppard is doubtful. 

Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

The Nuggets should be favored for obvious reasons, as they’re at home and they’ve won nine straight games against the Pacers. The Pacers haven’t beaten the Nuggets since January 2020. With that said, the Nuggets have lost three straight games and four of their last six games. The Nuggets are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. The Nuggets lack depth and are relying on Jokic to do a lot of heavy lifting. The Pacers are a dangerous team when that offense gets rolling and they can be nice to have in the underdog role. I just don’t like how the Nuggets are finishing the regular season. Give me the points with the Pacers.