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Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction 3/6/25 NBA Picks

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Atlanta Hawks (28-34) vs Indiana Pacers (35-25)

March 6, 2025 at 07:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta Hawks +2.5 — Over/Under: 246.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Indiana Pacers travel to the State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Thursday night. Here’s an Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction. This article will include an Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks Pick.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview

The Indiana Pacers have been in pretty good form as they’ve won six of their last eight games overall and they will be aiming for a third straight win after routing the Rockets in a 115-102 home win on Tuesday. Tyrese Haliburton led the team with 28 points and 15 assists on nine of 16 shooting, Pascal Siakam added 18 points while Aaron Nesmith and Myles Turner scored 16 points each. As a team, the Pacers shot 51 percent from the field and 17 of 42 from the 3-point line as they stormed out of the gates with 67 points in the first half to lead by 17 points. But the Rockets were starting to come back before the Pacers played great defense in the fourth quarter to win comfortably at home. 

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Atlanta Hawks have been in a real funk as they’ve lost six of their last eight games overall and they will be hoping to bounce back after getting beaten by the Bucks in a 127-121 home defeat on Tuesday. Trae Young led the team with 28 points and 13 assists, Caris LeVert added 21 points off the bench while Dyson Daniels chipped in with 16 points, nine rebounds, and six assists. As a team, the Hawks shot 45 percent from the field and 16 of 41 from the 3-point line as they traded shots with the Bucks in a game that remained close all the way until the fourth quarter. The Hawks allowed 35 points as they had no answer for the Bucks’ Kevin Porter Jr who scored 15 points in just 12 minutes off the bench. The Hawks will take on the 76ers after this b2b set with the Pacers.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

  • The Pacers have lost 12 of their last 15 games as road favorites following a win.
  • The Hawks have won three of their last four games as home underdogs against Central Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as road favorites following a home win.
  • The home team has covered the spread in each of the Pacers’ last four games.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

  • The Pacers have won each of their last 12 games as favorites against the Hawks following a win.
  • The Hawks have lost each of their last four night games against Pacers teams that held a winning record.
  • The Pacers have covered the spread in each of their last five games at State Farm Arena following a win.
  • The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the last eight games between the Pacers and Hawks at State Farm Arena have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Seven of the Pacers’ last eight games at State Farm Arena following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction

The Pacers are still keeping an eye on Bennedict Mathurin and Tyrese Haliburton, who are both questionable. The Hawks are still missing Jalen Johnson and Larry Nance Jr. This is definitely a game where you should check the lineups before tipoff given the injury clouding hovering over the Pacers. With that being said, the Pacers have been the better team this season, and they have enough depth to cover for the possible absence of Haliburton for one game. The line is short enough, so I will stick with the Pacers to get the win and cover on the road. 

Peter Tran's Pick: Indiana -2.5

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