Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction 3/8/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Houston Rockets and San Antonio Spurs meet Sunday in NBA action at the Frost Bank Center. Here’s a Houston Rockets vs. San Antonio Spurs prediction. This article will include a Houston Rockets vs. San Antonio Spurs pick.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets beat the Trail Blazers and lost to the Warriors, and they play the Raptors next. The Rockets have won 6 of their last 9 games.

The Houston Rockets are averaging 114.5 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 109.2 points on 45.6 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 26.2 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 20.2 points and 9.1 rebounds. Amen Thompson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jabari Smith Jr. is grabbing 6.8 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.2 rebounds per game.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview

The San Antonio Spurs beat the Clippers and Pistons, and they play the Celtics next. The Spurs have won 19 of their last 23 games.

The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 118.5 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 111.9 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 24.2 points and 11.3 rebounds, while De’Aaron Fox is averaging 19.1 points and 6.3 assists. Stephon Castle is the third double-digit scorer, and Devin Vassell is dishing 2.4 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 78.4 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.7 rebounds per game.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

• The Spurs have won each of their last 11 home games following a home win.
• The Rockets have lost seven of their last eight games at Frost Bank Center following a win.
• The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Spurs have covered the spread in each of their last five games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The Spurs have lost each of their last 11 Sunday night games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rockets have won three of their last four games on the road as underdogs against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
• The Rockets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs.
• The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as home favorites following a home win.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Rockets’ last six night games against Southwest Division opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eight of the Spurs’ last nine night games against the Rockets following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.

San Antonio Spurs Player Facts

• Keldon Johnson ranks 2nd amongst qualified guards for FG% (53.6%) this season.
• Julian Champagnie is one of only 10 players in the league to have made 10+ threes in a game this season.

Houston Rockets Player Facts

• Kevin Durant ranks T7th in the league for second-chance points (185) this season.
• Jabari Smith Jr. has played the most minutes in a single game without making a field goal of any player in the league this season—42:16 against the Warriors on March 5.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Spurs rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (21.0).
• The Spurs have missed the playoffs in six consecutive seasons—the second-longest active streak in the NBA.
• The Rockets have suffered the largest comeback loss from an HT lead this season—led by 22 points at the Pelicans on December 18.
• The Rockets rank 1st in the league for Q3 opponent points per game this season (26.1).

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs Injury Report

David Jones Garcia, Harrison Barnes, and Mason Plumlee are out for the Spurs.

The Rockets will be without Fred VanVleet, Jae’Sean Tate, and Steven Adams.

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction

The Rockets continue to be hit or miss and I’m not sure I trust them against good teams. I certainly don’t trust the Rockets on the road, where they’ve lost 15 times. The Spurs keep winning and covering numbers, and a comeback win over the Clippers probably only adds to the confidence of this group. Wemby was emotional after that win, showing just how seriously this group takes every game. In a league full of tanking, it’s nice to see. I’m not stepping in front of the Spurs for a hot and cold team such as the Rockets. Give me the Spurs and the reasonable number.

Randy Chambers's Pick: San Antonio Spurs -5.5