Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings Prediction 1/11/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Houston Rockets and Sacramento Kings meet Sunday in NBA action at the Golden 1 Center. Here’s a Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings Prediction. This article will include a Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings Pick.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets beat the Suns, lost to the Trail Blazers, and they play the Bulls next. The Rockets have won 5 of their last 8 games.

The Houston Rockets are averaging 120 points on 49 percent shooting and allowing 111.4 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 25.7 points and 5 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 21.8 points and 9 rebounds. Amen Thompson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jabari Smith Jr. is grabbing 6.9 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 39.3 percent from beyond the arc and 78 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.8 rebounds per game.

Sacramento Kings Betting Preview

The Sacramento Kings lost to the Warriors and Mavericks, and they play the Lakers next. The Kings have lost 16 of their last 20 games.

The Sacramento Kings are averaging 110.9 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 122.3 points on 49.7 percent shooting. Zach LaVine is averaging 20.2 points and 3 rebounds, while DeMar DeRozan is averaging 18.5 points and 3.4 rebounds. Domantas Sabonis is the third double-digit scorer and Keegan Murray is grabbing 6.1 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc and 76.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Sacramento Kings will win

• The Rockets have lost each of their last seven night games at Golden 1 Center.
• The Kings have won each of their last six home games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight road games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The Kings have covered the spread in six of their last seven night games against the Rockets at Golden 1 Center.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The Kings have lost each of their last seven games.
• The Rockets have won 13 of their last 15 road games against Pacific Division opponents after losing as favorites.
• The Kings have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as home underdogs following a road loss.
• The Rockets have covered the spread in four of their last five road games against Pacific Division opponents after losing as favorites.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Kings’ last seven night games on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the Rockets’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Sacramento Kings Player Facts

• Zach LaVine ranks 17th amongst qualified players for FT% (87.9%) this season.
• DeMar DeRozan ranks 20th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.4) this season.

Houston Rockets Player Facts

• Jabari Smith Jr. ranks 18th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (6.9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Kings rank 30th in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (10.4).
• The Kings rank 30th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (30.4).
• The Rockets rank 1st in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (16.4).
• The Rockets rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (75.4%).

Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings Injury Report

The Kings will be without Domantas Sabonis and Keegan Murray.

The Rockets will be without Fred VanVleet and Tari Eason. Alperen Sengun is questionable.

Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings Prediction

I don’t want to back the Kings as much as the next guy, as they’re awful. However, the Rockets have lost 3 of their last 4 games as big favorites and have failed to cover their last 4 games. All of a sudden, the Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. The Rockets have seen 11 of their 13 losses this season come on the road. The Kings beat the Rockets a couple of weeks ago in overtime as 11-point underdogs. The Kings have won 4 of the last 5 games against the Rockets overall. This is just too many points for a Rockets team that’s simply not finishing games lately. It’s Kings or pass for me.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Sacramento Kings +12.5