Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 2/7/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Houston Rockets invade the Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday afternoon. Here’s a Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Pick.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview 

The Houston Rockets have been in decent shape as they’ve won nine of their last 14 games overall, but they will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after getting beaten by the Hornets in a 109-99 loss on Thursday. Kevin Durant led the team with 31 points and five steals on 11 of 21 shooting, while Jabari Smith Jr added 17 points, but no other player scored more than eight points.

As a team, the Rockets shot 46 percent from the field which was actually better than the Hornets, but the Rockets drained just eight 3-pointers as a team compared to the Hornets who drained a total of 17. The Rockets trailed in this one by as many as 22 points before they went on a run in the fourth quarter that was all too late. 

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Oklahoma City Thunder have cooled off a bit recently as they’ve dropped four of their last seven games overall. They will be hoping to bounce back after getting beaten by the Spurs in a 116-106 road defeat on Wednesday. Kenrich Williams led the team with 25 points on nine of 18 shooting, Jaylin Williams added 24 points with 12 rebounds and four assists while Aaron Wiggins chipped in with 20 points, six assists and five steals.

As a team, the Thunder shot 40 percent from the field and 19 of 47 from the 3-point line, but they allowed the Spurs to get off to a red-hot start. They were always fighting a losing battle after falling behind by as many as 22 points. Isaiah Joe had a rough game as he shot just one of seven from the field for his two points. 

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last eight games at Paycom Center when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Rockets have lost 21 of their last 22 games as road underdogs against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.
• The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in five of their last six games at Paycom Center when playing with a rest advantage.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The road team has won five of the Rockets’ last six games.
• The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last six games as underdogs following a home loss.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games at Paycom Center following a loss.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Rockets’ last six games as road underdogs following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Thunder’s last four home games following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

The Rockets are still missing Fred VanVleet, Steven Adams, and Jae’Sean Tate, while the Thunder have ruled out Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Alex Caruso, and Jalen Williams. They are keeping an eye on Luguentz Dort, Chet Holmgren, Jared McCain, and Isaiah Hartenstein, who are all listed as game-time decisions. These teams have already met twice this season, with the Thunder winning the first game by one point and the second game by 20 points.

I am expecting a close contest in this one, but with all the injuries the Thunder are dealing with currently, I prefer a play on the Rockets to get some revenge in this meeting. Even though they haven’t looked great in their last two outings.

Peter Tran's Pick: Houston +4.5