Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans Player Prop Picks 3/6/25 NBA Picks

The Houston Rockets (37-25) will face the New Orleans Pelicans (17-45) on March 6, 2025, at the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, Louisiana. The Rockets are currently on a three-game losing streak, including a recent 115-102 loss to the Indiana Pacers, where Alperen Sengun led with 25 points. This slump has caused them to slip from second to fifth in the Western Conference standings. 

Conversely, the Pelicans have shown signs of improvement, winning five of their last eight games. Despite a 21-point loss to the Los Angeles Lakers in their previous outing, Zion Williamson delivered an impressive 37-point performance. Williamson has been a consistent offensive force, averaging 24.8 points per game since January.

Betting trends indicate that the Rockets have struggled against the spread, particularly after straight-up losses, holding a 2-5-1 record in such scenarios. They are also 0-4 against the spread when facing teams with a winning percentage below .400. The Pelicans, meanwhile, have been more favorable against the spread on Thursdays, with a 6-2 record in their last eight Thursday games.

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Alperen Sengun Over 10.5 Rebounds

Alperen Şengün, the 22-year-old center for the Houston Rockets, has delivered an outstanding performance in the 2024-2025 NBA season. As of March 5, 2025, he averages 19.1 points, 10.5 rebounds, and 4.8 assists per game, with a field goal percentage of 48.8%. His rebounding contributions are particularly noteworthy, with a total of 601 rebounds this season. He has a favorable matchup going against the Pelicans, who give up 54.9 rebounds per game to opposing teams, which is the 3rd most in the whole league. Expect Sengun to clean up on the glass. 

Zion Williamson Over 23.5 Points

Zion Williamson has played 24 games for the New Orleans Pelicans during the 2024-25 NBA season, averaging 24.8 points per game on an efficient 57.3% shooting from the field. While his three-point percentage remains low at 23.1%, he continues to dominate inside the paint, contributing significantly to the Pelicans’ offense. He also shoots 63.4% from the free-throw line while averaging 28.3 minutes per game. Zion has scored over 23 points in his last three games, and he’s coming off a game where he dropped 37 points against the Lakers. When Zion Williamson is able to play and is healthy, there’s no question is one of the most elite scorers in this league.

Jabari Smith Over 1.5 Three Pointers

Houston Rockets forward Jabari Smith Jr. has played 40 games in the 2024-25 NBA season. He has made 66 three-point field goals out of 190 attempts, resulting in a three-point shooting percentage of 34.7%. Smith Jr. averages 4.8 three-point attempts per game, making approximately 1.7 per game. Smith is coming off a game where he made two three-pointers against the Indiana Pacers, and I expect him to pick up right where he left off. He’s facing this Pelicans team who are giving up 14.8 3 pointers per game to opposing teams, which is the most in the whole league.