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Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction 11/26/2025 Today’s NBA Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Houston Rockets | Golden State Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 11-4 | 10-9 |
| Spread | +2.5 -115 | -2.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | +120 | -142 |
| Total | Over 224.5 (-115) | Under 224.5 (-105) |
| Where | Chase Center, San Francisco, CA | |
| When | Wednesday, November 26, 2025 | |
| Time | 10:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN | |
The Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Chase Center. Here’s a Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Pick.
Houston Rockets Betting Preview
The Houston Rockets beat the Suns, lost to the Nuggets, and they play the Jazz next. The Rockets have won 11 of their last 13 games.
The Houston Rockets are averaging 125.5 points on 49.8 percent shooting and allowing 113.3 points on 45.7 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 25.1 points and 4.6 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 22.4 points and 10.2 rebounds. Amen Thompson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jabari Smith Jr. is grabbing 6 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 42.7 percent from beyond the arc and 78.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 49.4 rebounds per game.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
The Golden State Warriors lost to the Trail Blazers, beat the Jazz, and they’ll play the Pelicans next. The Warriors have lost 8 of their last 14 games.
The Golden State Warriors are averaging 115.7 points on 45.4 percent shooting and allowing 114 points on 47.4 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 27.4 points and 3.7 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 19.1 points and 4.8 assists. Jonathan Kuminga is the third double-digit scorer, and Moses Moody is grabbing 2.8 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 37.5 percent from beyond the arc and 83.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42 rebounds per game.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Warriors have won six of their last seven home games.
- The Rockets have lost nine of their last 11 road games against Warriors teams that held a winning record.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last four games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in six of their last eight games following a road win.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The Rockets have won 19 of their last 20 Wednesday night games.
- The Warriors have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a win.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games as favorites following a home win.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the Rockets’ last four games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Warriors’ last four games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of the Rockets’ last seven games as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
Golden State Warriors Player Facts
- Moses Moody is one of only 12 players in the league to have made 8+ threes in a game this season.
- Will Richard ranks 2nd amongst qualified rookies for FG% (54.4%) this season.
Houston Rockets Player Facts
- Reed Sheppard ranks 8th amongst qualified players for 3P% (47.1%) this season.
- Josh Okogie ranks 12th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.5) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- This season, 42.1% of the Warriors’ scoring has come from beyond the three-point line – highest mark in the league.
- The Warriors rank 2nd in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (44.1).
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (16.2).
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for three-point percentage this season (42.0%).
Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Injury Report
The Warriors will be without De’Anthony Melton, Al Horford, and Jonathan Kuminga.
The Rockets will be without Fred VanVleet, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant, and Tari Eason. Steven Adams is also out.
Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction
The Rockets showed against the Suns that they can win without Durant. There’s also a revenge factor for the Rockets, as the last time they played the Warriors they were getting sent home in the playoffs. We’re still not getting enough points for me to pull the trigger. The Warriors are at home where they play their best ball, and they’re getting healthy for the most part. The Rockets have a lot of banged up bodies. This is also an NBA Cup game, and those vets in the Bay Area are still capable of getting up for games like this. I’ll lay the small number.
