Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 12/15/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Houston Rockets and Denver Nuggets meet Monday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Pick.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets beat the Clippers, lost to the Mavericks, and they play the Pelicans next. The Rockets have won 6 of their last 8 games.

The Houston Rockets are averaging 120.7 points on 48.6 percent shooting and allowing 110.5 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 24.8 points and 4.6 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 23 points and 9.4 rebounds. Amen Thompson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jabari Smith Jr. is grabbing 6.6 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 39.6 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 34.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.9 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets beat the Hornets and Kings, and they play the Magic next. The Nuggets have won 21 of their last 27 regular season games.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 125.5 points on 51.7 percent shooting and allowing 115.9 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.5 points and 12.3 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 24.4 points and 4.4 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer, and Tim Hardaway Jr. is grabbing 2.1 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 39.8 percent from beyond the arc and 82 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 33.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

• The Nuggets have won each of their last eight games as home favorites against the Rockets following a win.
• The Rockets have lost eight of their last 10 road games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.
• The Nuggets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games at Ball Arena against teams that held a winning record.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Nuggets’ last four games at Ball Arena.
• The Nuggets have lost each of their last three games as home favorites against Western Conference opponents.
• The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games at Ball Arena.
• The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs.

Total Points Facts

• Ten of the Nuggets’ last 11 games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
• Eight of the Rockets’ last nine road games against Northwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Denver Nuggets Player Facts

• Peyton Watson ranks 6th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for blocks per game (1.2) this season.

Houston Rockets Player Facts

• Josh Okogie ranks 10th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.4) this season.
• Kevin Durant ranks 12th amongst qualified players for FT% (89.2%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goal percentage this season (51.7%).
• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (45.4).
• The Rockets rank 1st in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (16.4).
• The Rockets rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (74.8%).

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report

Christian Braun and Aaron Gordon are out for the Nuggets. Julian Strawther is questionable.

The Rockets will be without Fred VanVleet and Dorian Finney-Smith. Tari Eason is questionable.

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

I was going to side with the Nuggets and the small chalk at home, as they’re a tough out on their home court. The Nuggets also already beat the Rockets this season. However, the Nuggets are 1-18-1 ATS in their last 20 home games when favorites of 3 or fewer points. Seventeen of those failed covers were outright losses. The Nuggets have had issues since Braun and Gordon went down. This also feels like a statement game for the Rockets, who are still trying to convince themselves they’re a legit title contender. Four of the Nuggets six losses have come at home. I’ll take a stab with the Rockets, mainly because of that ridiculous trend when the Nuggets are small home favorites.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Houston Rockets +1.5