Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 3/7/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Golden State Warriors and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Saturday in NBA action at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder prediction. This article will include a Golden State Warriors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors lost to the Clippers, beat the Rockets, and will play the Jazz next. The Warriors have lost 9 of their last 15 games.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 115.6 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 114.1 points on 47.3 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 27.2 points and 4.8 assists, while Brandin Podziemski averages 12 points and 3.5 assists. De’Anthony Melton is the third double-digit scorer, and Moses Moody is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 80.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Bulls and Knicks and then play the Nuggets next. The Thunder have won 9 of their last 11 games.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 119.1 points on 48.4 percent shooting and allowing 107.9 points on 43.7 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.8 points and 6.4 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 17.5 points and 4.7 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 36.5 percent from beyond the arc and 82.1 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 36.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 52.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last nine home games against Pacific Division opponents following a win.
• The Warriors have lost each of their last seven games following a win.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games following a win.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in six of their last seven games against Pacific Division opponents.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won five of their last seven games on the road as underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Thunder have lost each of their last three Saturday games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in eight of the Thunder’s last nine games.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as favorites.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last six games between the Warriors and Thunder at Paycom Center has gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of the Warriors’ last eight games against the Thunder following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

• Chet Holmgren ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for blocks per game (1.9) this season.
• Isaiah Joe ranks 5th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.1) this season.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Al Horford ranks 9th amongst qualified centers for three-pointers made per game (1.7) this season.
• Brandin Podziemski ranks 20th amongst qualified guards for rebounds per game (5.2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (74.6%).
• The Thunder have suffered the largest comeback loss when leading through Q1 this season—led by 20 points against the Trail Blazers on November 5.
• This season, 42.4% of the Warriors’ scoring has come from beyond the three-point line—the highest mark in the league.
• The Warriors rank 29th for points in the paint (2562) this season.

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report

The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Isaiah Hartenstein, Branden Carlson, Jalen Williams, and Ajay Mitchell.

The Warriors will be without Jimmy Butler, Moses Moody, LJ Cryer, Kristaps Porzingis, Seth Curry, and Stephen Curry. Gary Payton and Will Richard are questionable.

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction

The Thunder aren’t the covering machines they’ve been in past years, but they’re still good enough to take advantage of bad, banged-up teams. When the Thunder and Warriors met in January, OKC won 131-94. The Warriors have had issues on the road all season and they’re still missing countless rotation players. It’s a big number but this game has a chance to get ugly. If I get involved in this spot, I’m going to lay the points with the Thunder.

Randy Chambers's Pick: OKC Thunder -14.5