Jan 22, 2026; Dallas, Texas, USA; Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) reacts during the second half against the Golden State Warriors at American Airlines Center. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images
Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 1/24/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Golden State Warriors Minnesota Timberwolves
Team Records 25-21 27-18
Spread +5.5 -108 -5.5 -112
Moneyline +180 -218
Total Over 237.5 (-110) Under 237.5 (-110)
Where Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
When Saturday, January 24, 2026
Time 05:30 PM EST
TV ABC

The Golden State Warriors pay a visit to the Minnesota Timberwolves at the Target Center on Saturday night. Here’s a Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview 

The Golden State Warriors have been in great form as they’ve won six of their last nine games overall. They are now hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after getting beaten by the Mavericks in a 123-115 road defeat on Thursday. Stephen Curry led the team with 38 points on 14 of 27 shooting, De’Anthony Melton added 22 points off the bench while Moses Moody chipped in with 12 points.

As a team, the Warriors shot 45 percent from the field and 15 of 46 from the 3-point line as they poured in 39 points in the third quarter to take the lead after trailing for most of the first half. However, they couldn’t get any stops when they needed it most as they allowed 39 points in the fourth quarter to allow the Mavericks to slip away. 

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves have gone cold lately as they’ve dropped five of their last seven games overall and they will be eager to arrest a four-game slide after getting beaten by the Bulls in a 120-115 loss on Thursday. Julius Randle led the team with 30 points, seven rebounds and six assists on 10 of 17 shooting, Anthony Edwards and Naz Reid each scored 20 points while Jaden McDaniels chipped in with 16 points and five assists.

As a team, the Timberwolves shot 46 percent from the field and 15 of 41 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 32 points in the first quarter to take an early 14-point lead. It still looked like they were in control when they led by six points late in the fourth quarter, before they allowed the Bulls to score the final nine points of the game.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

  • The Warriors have lost each of their last six road games against Northwest Division opponents.
  • The Timberwolves have won nine of their last 10 home games against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
  • The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last five games following a home loss.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

  • The Timberwolves have lost each of their last four games.
  • The Warriors have won 12 of their last 15 games against Western Conference opponents after losing as favorites.
  • The Warriors have covered the spread in six of their last seven games against the Timberwolves following a road loss.
  • The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games against Western Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Nine of the Timberwolves’ last 10 home games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Warriors’ last five games have gone OVER the total points line.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

  • Anthony Edwards is one of only four players in the league to have scored 30+ points in five straight games this season.
  • Naz Reid ranks 2nd amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made per game (2.5) this season.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

  • Draymond Green is one of only six qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds (5.8) and assists (5.2) per game this season.
  • De’Anthony Melton leads all Warriors players for steals per 36 minutes (2.4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (3.8).
  • The Timberwolves rank 2nd in the league for Q3 points per game this season (30.9).
  • This season, 41.9% of the Warriors’ scoring has come from beyond the three-point line – highest mark in the league.
  • The Warriors rank 29th for points in the paint per game (43.7) this season.

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

The Warriors are still missing Jimmy Butler III, Seth Curry, and Jonathan Kuminga, while the Timberwolves are still missing Terrence Shannon Jr.

The Warriors were playing some of their best basketball of the season before they lost Jimmy Butler III to a season-ending injury. It’s already showing on the court, as the Warriors have been poor on the defensive end in their past two defeats. The Timberwolves enter this contest as the healthier team, but they’ve been in a bit of a slump lately and would love a win to get their season back on track. This would be a really close contest if both teams were healthy, but the Warriors’ injuries make them vulnerable at the moment and I think the Timberwolves can take advantage to secure the win at home.

Peter Tran's Pick: Minnesota -6.5

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