Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Player Prop Picks 12/3/24

This matchup between the Golden State Warriors and the Denver Nuggets promises to be an exciting contest. The Warriors, led by Stephen Curry, are known for their high-scoring offense, but their success depends on maintaining defensive consistency. Curry’s sharpshooting and Draymond Green’s leadership remain crucial. The Nuggets, with reigning MVP Nikola Jokić at the helm, are one of the league’s top teams. Jokić’s playmaking ability and dominance in the post make Denver a tough opponent. This game will likely center on the battle of pace and ball movement.

Draymond Green Over 8.5 Points

Draymond Green is having a balanced season in 2024-25 for the Golden State Warriors, with an average of 8.6 points per game. In addition to his scoring, he has been contributing 6.5 rebounds per game. He continues to be a key part of the Warriors’ defense and playmaking, averaging 5.9 assists. His shooting efficiency is notable, with a field goal percentage of 42.0%, though his three-point shooting remains a challenge at 40.3%​.

Taking the over on Draymond Green’s points has been a money maker for me this season and I’m surprised odds makers haven’t adjusted his line. He’s scored over 8 points in 8 of his last 10 games. This should be a close and competitive game where Draymond will need to play a lot of minutes. I will continue to take Draymond’s over on points until it lets me down. 

Nikola Jokic Over 27.5 Points

Nikola Jokić is having an outstanding scoring season in 2024-25, averaging 29.6 points per game for the Denver Nuggets. His shooting efficiency has been remarkable, with a field goal percentage of 61.5%. He also contributes significantly with 13.2 rebounds and 10.7 assists per game, continuing to showcase his all-around skills. Jokić remains one of the top performers in the league, solidifying his MVP candidacy with consistent dominant play.

If oddsmakers are going to continue to set Jokic’s point total line under 30 I’ll continue to hammer the over. We’ve seen him get over this number of 27.5 points in 6 of his last 7 games. In 5 of those games, he got 30 or more points. If the Nuggets want to win this game against a team like the Warriors Jokic will need to have a big game. To add onto that historically we’ve seen Jokic have big games when playing the Warriors. 

Stephen Curry Over 5.5 Assists 

As of the 2024-25 NBA season, Stephen Curry is averaging 6.5 assists per game. This marks a significant part of his all-around contributions to the Golden State Warriors’ offense, alongside his elite scoring ability. Curry has been distributing the ball efficiently, with a steady assist-to-turnover ratio, as he continues to play a pivotal role in orchestrating the Warriors’ offense.

Steph is coming off a game where he only had 4 assists but before that game, he cleared this line with ease in 7 of his last 8 games. He has a favorable matchup playing the Denver Nuggets who allow 29.6 assists per game to opposing teams which is the 2nd most in the league. This is a great spot to buy low on Curry and expect him to have a big night facilitating for the Warriors.