Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 3/23/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Golden State Warriors and Dallas Mavericks meet Monday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks Pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors lost to the Hawks and Pistons and will play the Nets next. The Warriors have lost 18 of their last 24 games.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 114.8 points on 45.9 percent shooting and allowing 114.7 points on 47.5 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 27.2 points and 4.8 assists, while Brandin Podziemski averages 12.8 points and 3.7 assists. De’Anthony Melton is the third double-digit scorer, and Moses Moody is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 80.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.5 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Clippers and Hawks and play the Nuggets next. The Mavs have lost 22 of their last 26 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 113.5 points on 46.8 percent shooting and allowing 118.7 points on 47.5 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 20.1 points and 4.5 assists, while Naji Marshall is averaging 15.3 points and 4.8 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.3 percent from beyond the arc and 74.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 34.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Mavericks have won each of their last five games as underdogs following an overtime loss.
• The Warriors have lost six of their last eight games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last seven games against the Warriors at American Airlines Center.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 night games at American Airlines Center.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Mavericks have lost each of their last 11 games at American Airlines Center.
• The favorites have won each of the Warriors’ last six games.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in six of their last seven road games against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five night games against Pacific Division opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Warriors’ last nine games as favorites following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of the Mavericks’ last five games have gone OVER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• P.J. Washington is one of only five qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steal, and 1.0 block this season.
• Ryan Nembhard ranks 5th amongst qualified players for assists per 36 minutes (9.5) this season.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Gary Payton II ranks 13th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.1) this season.
• Brandin Podziemski ranks 17th amongst qualified Guards for rebounds per game (5.2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mavericks rank 2nd in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (34.6%).
• The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for free throw percentage this season (74.8%).
• The Warriors rank 2nd in the league for steals per game this season (9.8).
• The Warriors rank 2nd in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (16.0).

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Injury Report

The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Brandon Williams, and Dereck Lively II. Caleb Martin is questionable.

The Warriors will be without Jimmy Butler, Stephen Curry, Quinten Post, Seth Curry, and Al Horford. Moses Moody is questionable.

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

I’m not excited to back either of these teams that are racking up the losses at an insane rate. Of course injuries haven’t helped either side. However, somebody has to win and cover. I have to lean toward the Warriors and the small chalk. Unlike the Mavs, the Warriors are in a play-in position and could pass the Trail Blazers or Clippers for a better seed if they could actually run into a win or two. There are not many teams in a worse position than the Mavs. The Warriors have to take advantage of a game like this if they want to see the postseason. I’ll lay the small number with the road team.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Golden State Warriors -1.5