Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 1/22/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Dallas Mavericks play host to the Golden State Warriors at the American Airlines Center on Thursday night. Here’s a Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview 

The Golden State Warriors have been in fine form as they’ve won six of their last eight games overall. They will be eager to bounce back in this spot after having their four-game win streak halted by the Raptors in a 145-127 loss on Tuesday. Buddy Hield led the team in scoring with 25 points on seven of eight shooting off the bench, Jonathan Kuminga added 20 points on seven of 10 shooting while Stephen Curry chipped in with 16 points.

As a team, the Warriors shot 52 percent from the field and 16 of 43 from the 3-point line, which are respectable numbers. However, the problems were on the defensive end as they were never in the contest after allowing 70 points in the first half to trail by as many as 30 points. 

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have been in pretty good shape lately as they’ve won six of their last nine games overall. They will be gunning for a fourth straight victory after routing the Knicks in a 114-97 road win on Monday. Max Christie drained eight 3-pointers to lead the team with 26 points on nine of 13 shooting, Naji Marshall added 19 points with eight rebounds and four assists while Cooper Flagg tallied 18 points with seven rebounds and three assists.

As a team, the Mavericks shot 49 percent from the field and 15 of 32 from the 3-point line as they caught fire early and exploded for 44 points in the second quarter to take a 28-point lead into halftime. This allowed them to cruise in the second half and rest some of their starters early. 

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Mavericks have won five of their last six games as home underdogs.
• The Warriors have lost each of their last three games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last six games against the Warriors at American Airlines Center.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine night games at American Airlines Center.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Mavericks have lost each of their last seven night games against Pacific Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Warriors have won each of their last six games against Southwest Division opponents after losing as favorites.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six night games against Pacific Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last five games as road favorites against Southwest Division opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Warriors’ last four games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the Mavericks’ last six home games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• P.J. Washington is one of only five qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.
• Naji Marshall is one of only 15 players to have scored 30+ points off the bench in a game this season.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Draymond Green is one of only seven qualified players in the league to be leading their team in rebounds (5.8) and assists (5.2) per game this season.
• De’Anthony Melton leads all Warriors players for steals per 36 minutes (2.4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Nine different Mavericks players have scored 25+ points in a game this season – equal-most in the league.
• The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (12.5).
• This season, 42.0% of the Warriors’ scoring has come from beyond the three-point line – highest mark in the league.
• The Warriors rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (21.7).

Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

The Warriors are still missing Seth Curry and Jimmy Butler III with Gary Payton II listed as questionable, while the Mavericks are missing Dereck Lively II, Kyrie Irving and Anthony Davis with Daniel Gafford listed as questionable. The Warriors were on a great run before they lost Butler III to a season-ending injury, but they are still relatively healthy compared to the Mavericks who are still missing so many key players.

These teams last met on Dec 26, and it was the Warriors who won by 126-116. I am expecting a similar result in this one as the Warriors should be able to grab the win and cover at the short line in this spot.

Peter Tran's Pick: Golden State -4.5