Golden State Warriors vs Boston Celtics Prediction 3/18/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Golden State Warriors and the Boston Celtics duke it out at the TD Garden on Wednesday night. Here’s a Golden State Warriors vs. Boston Celtics prediction. This article will include a Golden State Warriors vs. Boston Celtics pick.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview 

The Golden State Warriors have been in a major slump as they’ve lost seven of their last nine games overall, but they will be feeling a little better after they snapped a five-game losing streak with a 125-117 road win over the Wizards on Monday. Kristaps Porzingis led the team with 30 points, five rebounds, four assists and three blocks off the bench; De’Anthony Melton added 27 points on 12 of 17 shooting, while Gui Santos chipped in with 18 points and five assists.

As a team, the Warriors shot 51 percent from the field and nine of 32 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 34 points in the first quarter to take a 17-point lead, which proved to be crucial as the Wizards rallied back to within five points with 4:29 left in the fourth quarter before the Warriors held on for the narrow win. 

Boston Celtics Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Boston Celtics have been in fine form, as they’ve won 11 of their last 15 games overall and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after beating the Suns in a 120-112 win on Monday. Jaylen Brown led the team with 41 points, seven rebounds and six assists on 10 of 20 shooting. Jayson Tatum and Derrick White each scored 21 points, while Payton Pritchard chipped in with 19 points and six assists off the bench.

As a team, the Celtics shot 49 percent from the field and 17 of 40 from the 3-point line as they poured in 65 points in the first half to take a narrow lead into halftime, but this was a battle right to the end as the Celtics never led by more than 10 points in this one. 

Why the Boston Celtics will win

• The Celtics have won each of their last 11 night games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Warriors have lost each of their last seven night games following a road win.
• The Celtics have covered the spread in each of their last six games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games following a road win.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won three of their last five games on the road as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in seven of their last eight night games against the Celtics.
• The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as home favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Celtics’ last eight games at TD Garden following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Warriors’ last four games as road underdogs following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Boston Celtics Player Facts

• Jaylen Brown is one of only three qualified players in the league averaging at least 25.0 points, 5.0 rebounds and 5.0 assists this season.
• Payton Pritchard ranks 8th amongst qualified players for assist-to-turnover ratio (4.0) this season.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• De’Anthony Melton leads all Warriors players for steals per 36 minutes (2.5) this season.
• Kristaps Porzingis leads all Warriors players for blocks per 36 minutes (2.2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Celtics rank 1st in the league for turnovers per game this season (12.2).
• The Celtics rank 30th in the league for free throw attempts per game this season (18.3).
• The Warriors rank 1st in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (45.2).
• This season, 42.1% of the Warriors’ scoring has come from beyond the three-point line—the highest mark in the league.

Golden State Warriors vs Boston Celtics Prediction

The Warriors are still missing Seth Curry, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III and Moses Moody, with Quinten Post listed as questionable, while the Celtics have ruled out Nikola Vucevic once again. The Warriors have been hit hard by injuries lately but they were able to get some relief with a solid win over the lowly Wizards in their last outing.

The Warriors last met the Celtics on Feb 19 and it was the Celtics who rolled to a 121-110 road win. It’s hard to picture anything but another comfortable win for the Celtics in this spot, so I will lay the points with the home team in this one.

Peter Tran's Pick: Boston -12.5