Dec 15, 2025; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Teammates Detroit Pistons forward Tobias Harris (12) and guard Caris Levert (8) go over to guard Javonte Green (31) after he was called for a technical foul against the Boston Celtics during the second half at TD Garden. Mandatory Credit: Winslow Townson-Imagn Images
Winslow Townson-Imagn Images

Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 12/18/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Detroit Pistons Dallas Mavericks
Team Records 21-5 10-17
Spread -7.5 -112 +7.5 -108
Moneyline -285 +230
Total Over 228.5 (-108) Under 228.5 (-112)
Where American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
When Thursday, December 18, 2025
Time 08:30 PM EST
TV KFAA-TV

The Detroit Pistons and Dallas Mavericks meet Thursday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.

Detroit Pistons Betting Preview

The Detroit Pistons beat the Hawks and Celtics, and they play the Hornets next. The Pistons have won 19 of their last 22 games.

The Detroit Pistons are averaging 119.4 points on 48.5 percent shooting and allowing 113 points on 44.7 percent shooting. Cade Cunningham is averaging 27.1 points and 6 rebounds, while Jalen Duren is averaging 18 points and 1.7 assists. Tobias Harris is the third double-digit scorer and Duncan Robinson is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Detroit Pistons are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 74.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Detroit Pistons are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.2 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks beat the Nets, lost to the Jazz, and they play the 76ers next. The Mavs have won 5 of their last 7 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 112.9 points on 6.1 percent shooting and allowing 116.9points on 46.3 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 20 points and 3.2 assists, while Cooper Flagg is averaging 18.4 points and 6.3 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Naji Marshall is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.1 percent from beyond the arc and 75.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.2 rebounds per game.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Mavericks have won each of their last four games as underdogs following an overtime loss.
  • The Pistons have lost seven of their last eight road games against Southwest Division opponents after winning as underdogs.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last six games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
  • The Pistons have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Southwest Division opponents after winning as underdogs.

Why the Detroit Pistons will win

  • The Mavericks have lost 16 of their last 17 night games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Pistons have won 11 of their last 12 night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Pistons have covered the spread in each of their last four games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five home games against Central Division opponents after losing as favorites.

Total Points Facts

  • Five of the Mavericks’ last six games have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Four of the Pistons’ last five games against Southwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

  • Naji Marshall is one of only seven players to have scored 30+ points off the bench in a game this season.
  • Max Christie ranks 4th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (45.8%) this season.

Detroit Pistons Player Facts

  • Isaiah Stewart ranks 4th amongst qualified players for blocks per game (1.9) this season.
  • Duncan Robinson ranks 4th amongst qualified Forwards for three-pointers made per game (3.0) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Mavericks rank 2nd in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (11.4).
  • The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for H1 points per game this season (54.8).
  • Only 28.4% of the Pistons’ scoring this season has come from beyond the three-point line – lowest mark in the league.
  • The Pistons rank 2nd in the league for blocks per game this season (5.9).

Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks Injury Report

The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, and Dante Exum. D’Angelo Russell, Brandon Williams, and Anthony Davis are questionable.

The Pistons will be without Isaac Jones.

Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

The Mavericks have shown signs of life and here and there lately, but I need to see more before I can get behind them against good teams. The Mavericks are also still dealing with a boatload of injuries. The Pistons are simply the healthier side that’s more consistent, and they’re a profitable 15-11 ATS on the season. The Pistons beat the Mavs by 12 points about six weeks ago. If AD and others are cleared, maybe I’d lean toward the points, but at the time of this writing I’m siding with the Pistons on the road.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Detroit Pistons -5.5

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