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Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Prediction 4/9/25 NBA Picks

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Sacramento Kings (39-40) vs Denver Nuggets (47-32)

April 9, 2025 at 10:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Sacramento Kings +3 — Over/Under: 234.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Denver Nuggets and Sacramento Kings meet on Wednesday in NBA action at the Golden 1 Center. Here’s a Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Prediction. This article will include a Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Pick.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview 

The Denver Nuggets lost to the Warriors and Pacers, and they play the Grizzlies and Rockets next. The Nuggets have lost seven of their last 10 games and just fired head coach Mike Malone. 

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 120.7 points on 50.6 percent shooting and allowing 117.1 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.3 points and 12.8 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 21.6 points and 3.8 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer, and Christian Braun is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 37.8 percent from beyond the arc and 76.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 36.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.7 rebounds per game.

Sacramento Kings Betting Preview 

The Sacramento Kings beat the Pistons and Cavs, and they play the Clippers and Suns next. The Kings have won three straight games and are the ninth seed in the West.

The Sacramento Kings are averaging 116 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 115.5 points on 47.3 percent shooting. DeMar DeRozan is averaging 22.2 points and 3.9 rebounds, while Zach LaVine is averaging 21 points and 3.9 rebounds. Domantas Sabonis is the third double-digit scorer, and Malik Monk is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 80.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 38.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Sacramento Kings will win

  • The Nuggets have lost each of their last three games as favorites.
  • The underdogs have won three of the Kings’ last four games.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Kings have covered the spread in each of their last five games following a road win.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Nuggets have won 10 of their last 11 road games following a home loss.
  • The Kings have lost seven of their last eight night games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Kings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games against Western Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
  • The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last four games against the Kings after losing as favorites.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Kings rank 3rd in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (10.0).
  • The Kings rank 4th in the league for free throw percentage this season (80.4%).
  • The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (32.1).
  • The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (45.5).

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Injury Report 

The Kings will be without Jake LaRavia and Malik Monk, while Keegan Murray is questionable with a back injury.

The Nuggets will be without DaRon Holmes II, while Jamal Murray is doubtful with a hamstring injury.

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Prediction

The Nuggets are the better team, and they’ve won four straight games against the Kings, so they should be favored. However, the Nuggets have been a mess over the last two weeks, and they just surprisingly fired their head coach. I’m not sure how the Nuggets are going to perform with this quick turnaround. Coach firings are tricky, as some teams rally behind it, while others fall into a deeper, darker hole. The Kings need to keep winning to keep their spot in the ninth seed, and they’ve won three straight games, two on the road as big underdogs. I’ll lean toward the Kings and the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Sacramento Kings +3

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