Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Prediction 12/11/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Denver Nuggets and Sacramento Kings meet Thursday in NBA action at the Golden 1 Center. Here’s a Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Prediction. This article will include a Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Pick.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets beat the Hornets and Hawks, and they play the Rockets next. The Nuggets have won 20 of their last 26 regular season games.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 125 points on 51.3 percent shooting and allowing 116.4 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.2 points and 12.3 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 25 points and 4.5 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer, and Tim Hardaway Jr. is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 39.7 percent from beyond the arc and 82.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.

Sacramento Kings Betting Preview

The Sacramento Kings lost to the Pacers, beat the Heat, and they play the Timberwolves next. The Kings have lost 17 of their last 22 games.

The Sacramento Kings are averaging 111.5 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 122 points on 49.7 percent shooting. Zach LaVine is averaging 20.6 points and 3.1 rebounds, while DeMar DeRozan is averaging 18 points and 3.1 rebounds. Domantas Sabonis is the third double-digit scorer and Keegan Murray is grabbing 7.6 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 35.4 percent from beyond the arc and 75.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40 rebounds per game.

Why the Sacramento Kings will win

• The Nuggets have lost each of their last seven Thursday road games.
• The Kings have won three of their last four games against the Nuggets at Golden 1 Center following a loss.
• The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites following a road win.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in three of the Nuggets’ last four games.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

• The Nuggets have won each of their last 10 road games.
• The Kings have lost each of their last 11 games as home underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
• The Kings have failed to cover the spread in 19 of their last 20 Thursday games.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the last five games between the Nuggets and Kings.

Total Points Facts

• Ten of the Nuggets’ last 11 games against Pacific Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Kings’ last four games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.

Sacramento Kings Player Facts

• DeMar DeRozan ranks 12th amongst qualified players for FT% (89.2%) this season.
• Maxime Raynaud ranks 4th amongst qualified rookies for FG% (52.5%) this season.

Denver Nuggets Player Facts

• The Nuggets are scoring 130.4 points per 48 minutes while Peyton Watson are on the floor this season – highest mark of any qualified player in the league.
• Jamal Murray is one of only five players in the league to have made 10+ threes in a game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Kings rank 29th in the league for opponent field goal percentage this season (49.7%).
• The Kings rank 29th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (30.7).
• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goal percentage this season (51.3%).
• The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (45.1).

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Injury Report

The Kings will be without Domantas Sabonis and Zach LaVine. Dennis Schroder is doubtful.

Christian Braun and Julian Strawther are out for the Nuggets. Aaron Gordon is also out.

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings Prediction

The Nuggets have failed to cover each of their last 6 games as a double-digit favorite, and 3 of those games were outright losses. I’m still laying the points. The Kings are awful, and I doubt things improve with three rotation players out. The Kings are also one of the worst cover teams in the NBA, with an 8-15-1 ATS record. This is also a revenge spot for the Nuggets after losing to the Kings a couple of weeks ago as an 11-point underdog. The Nuggets have still won 7 of the last 8 games against the Kings. I have little use for the Kings. Give me the Nuggets in a road blowout victory.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Denver Nuggets -9.5