Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction NBA Picks 11/17/24

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Memphis Grizzlies (7-6) vs Denver Nuggets (7-4)

November 17, 2024 at 06:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Memphis Grizzlies -1.5 — Over/Under: 224.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Denver Nuggets pay a visit to the Memphis Grizzlies at the FedExForum on Sunday night. Here’s a Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction. This article will include a Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Pick.

Denver Nuggets 

The Denver Nuggets have been in great shape as they’ve won seven of their last nine games overall, but they will be eager to bounce back in this one after having their five-game win streak halted by the depleted Pelicans in a 101-94 road defeat on Friday. Michael Porter Jr. led the team with 24 points on 10 of 18 shooting, Jamal Murray added 16 points with eight assists, Peyton Watson added 18 points, while Christian Braun chipped in with 15 points and five steals. As a team, the Nuggets shot just 42 percent from the field and 10 of 37 from the 3-point line as they struggled right from the start, scoring just 22 points in the first quarter and things only got worse in the third quarter where they managed just 18 points to fall behind by 11 points. Nikola Jokic sat out this game due to personal reasons, but the Nuggets could have won this one if they just got more than a combined 12 points from their bench. Russell Westbrook had a quiet game of just five points on two of eight shooting off the bench. The Nuggets will face the Mavs following this b2b set with Dallas.

Memphis Grizzlies 

Meanwhile, the Memphis Grizzlies have been in pretty good form as they’ve won five of their last eight games overall, but they will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after falling short to the red-hot Warriors in a 123-118 road defeat on Friday. Jaren Jackson Jr led the team with 32 points, six rebounds and two blocks, Desmond Bane added 18 points off the bench while Jaylen Wells chipped in with 16 points. As a team, the Grizzlies shot just 40 percent from the field and seven of 42 from the 3-point line as they struggled to keep pace early on, scoring just 20 points in the second quarter to fall behind going into halftime before they allowed 38 points in the third quarter to fall behind by as many as 24 points. Santi Aldama had a quiet game of just four points, Scotty Pippen scored just three points, while Brandon Clarke finished with just two points. The Grizzlies will meet the 76ers and Bulls after this b2b.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

  • The Grizzlies have won each of their last five home games against the Nuggets following a road loss.
  • The Nuggets have lost 28 of their last 33 road games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six night games at FedExForum.
  • The Grizzlies have covered the spread in each of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

  • Ten of the Nuggets’ last 11 night games at FedExForum have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Nine of the Grizzlies’ last 10 games against the Nuggets following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

The Nuggets will again be shorthanded with Aaron Gordon still ruled out and Nikola Jokic listed as questionable, while the Grizzlies have ruled out Ja Morant and Marcus Smart. The Nuggets would’ve been so disappointed that they weren’t able to beat a severely depleted Pelicans squad in their last outing, but they might get a second chance as Jokic could sit out once again. The Grizzlies are still playing without their star point guard, but I think they would’ve taken plenty of confidence from the fact that they were able to challenge the Warriors who have been running through everyone. You can make an argument for either side here, but I am leaning towards the Grizzlies who are much more accustomed to playing shorthanded.

Peter Tran's Pick: Memphis -1.5

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