Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction 10/23/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Denver Nuggets and Golden State Warriors meet Thursday in NBA action at the Chase Center. Here’s a Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Pick.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets have won 50-plus games in each of the last 3 years and have made the playoffs 7 years straight. The Nuggets enter the first full season under coach David Adelman.

The Nuggets made depth moves by adding Cameron Johnson, Tim Hardaway Jr. and Bruce Brown, which should take pressure off their big three. Nikola Jokic is still the best player in the league, Aaron Gordon has become the perfect player in this system, and Jamal Murray should hold up better with more support around him. Christian Braun is also coming off his best season of his three-year career. The Nuggets also have another tough big man for when Jokic goes to the bench in Jonas Valanciunas. You can argue no team had a better offseason, and it’s why the Nuggets are a trendy pick to win the title this season.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors beat the Lakers opening night, and they’ll play the Trail Blazers and Grizzlies next. The Warriors look for their fourth 2-0 start in the last 8 years.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 119 points on 48.7 percent shooting and allowing 109 points on 54.5 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler averages 31 points and 4 assists, while Stephen Curry averages 23 points and 4 assists. Buddy Hield is the third double-digit scorer, and Jonathan Kuminga is grabbing 9 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 42.5 percent from beyond the arc and 89.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 25 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40 rebounds per game.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won each of their last seven games at Chase Center when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Nuggets have lost four of their last five road games.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in six of their last seven home games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
• The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five road openers.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

• The Nuggets have won nine of their last 10 games against the Warriors.
• The Warriors have lost three of their last four games as home favorites following a win.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine home openers against Western Conference opponents.
• The Nuggets have covered the spread in six of their last seven games as underdogs against the Warriors.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Nuggets’ last eight season openers against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the last four games between the Nuggets and Warriors have gone UNDER the total points line.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Buddy Hield ranks T2nd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made Per Game (5.0) this season.
• Draymond Green ranks T1st amongst qualified Forwards for assists per game (9.0) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Warriors rank 1st in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (77.0).
• The Warriors rank T1st in the league for Q1 win percentage this season (100.0%).

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Injury Report

The Nuggets don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

The Warriors are without Moses Moody due to a calf injury, while De’Anthony Melton is out with a knee injury. Alex Toohey won’t play due to a knee injury.

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

The Nuggets and the free point is intriguing because this team is loaded and if they live up to expectations, you’re not going to get them as an underdog often. Also, the Nuggets have won 9 of the last 10 games against the Warriors.

However, there’s value in a team having a game under their belt and getting the jitters out of the way. The Warriors looked good against the Lakers, and they should look even better at home. If the Warriors are going to get aggressive, efficient Jimmy this season, the ceiling of this team raises. Toss up spot, but because the Warriors got a game out of the way, they should be a little sharper. I’ll side with the home team.