Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Player Prop Picks3/17/25 NBA Picks

The Golden State Warriors (39-28) will host the Denver Nuggets (43-25) on March 17, 2025, at the Chase Center in San Francisco. Both teams are vying for favorable playoff positions in the Western Conference, with the Nuggets currently holding the third spot and the Warriors in sixth.

The Warriors have been on a remarkable run, boasting a 14-1 record when Jimmy Butler is on the court. They recently secured the sixth spot in the Western Conference and have defeated the third-seeded New York Knicks twice in 12 days. However, they face significant upcoming challenges against the Denver Nuggets and Milwaukee Bucks, both featuring formidable stars like Nikola Jokić and Giannis Antetokounmpo. These matches will test the Warriors’ championship aspirations and their strategy, especially their tendency to play smaller lineups in the face of bigger opponents.

The Nuggets, led by reigning MVP Nikola Jokić, have been a dominant force this season. Jokić is coming off a stellar 40-point performance in a narrow 126-123 loss to the Washington Wizards. Historically, Denver has had the upper hand in this matchup, winning nine of the last ten games against Golden State. They also lead the current season series 1-0.

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Russell Westbrook Over 13.5 Points

Denver Nuggets point guard Russell Westbrook has been a significant contributor during the 2024-25 NBA season. Over 61 games, he has averaged 13.1 points, 5.0 rebounds, and 6.1 assists per game, with a field goal percentage of 46.5% and a three-point shooting percentage of 34.6%. Westbrook has been playing great lately. He’s scored 13+ points in 6 of his last 8 games. He’s coming off a 22-point performance against the Wizards. I don’t see the Nuggets slowing down their usage of Westbrook.

Jimmy Butler Over 5.5 Assists

Jimmy Butler has been a key playmaker for the Golden State Warriors during the 2024-25 NBA season. He comes into this one averaging 4.8 assists. We’ve seen Butler record 6+ assists in 3 of his last 4 games, highlighted by a 10-assist game against the Portland Trail Blazers. This performance underscores his ability to facilitate the offense and create opportunities for his teammates. He has a favorable matchup in this oe going against the Denver Nuggets, who are giving up 29.3 assists per game to opposing teams, which is the highest average in the whole league. This should be another great spot for Jimmy Butler to have a well-rounded night on the stat sheet. 

Gui Santos Over 3.5 Rebounds

Golden State Warriors forward Gui Santos has been a consistent contributor on the boards during the 2024-25 NBA season. Over 42 games, he has averaged 3.2 rebounds per game, with a field goal percentage of 48.2%. Santos has increased his rebounding average to 3.9 per game over the last 27 games while playing approximately 17.5 minutes per game. His high basketball IQ and energetic play have made him a valuable asset to the Warriors, particularly in his rebounding efforts. Santos has secured 5+ rebounds in his last 4 games and is coming off a 7-rebound game against the Knicks. Santos gets overlooked with being on this Warriors team, but he’s been a contributor as of late, especially on the glass.