Dallas Mavericks vs Toronto Raptors Prediction 3/8/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Dallas Mavericks invade the Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Sunday night. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs. Toronto Raptors prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs. Toronto Raptors pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview 

The Dallas Mavericks have been in horrible form, as they’ve lost 16 of their last 18 games overall and they will be eager to arrest a six-game losing streak after getting trampled by the Celtics in a 120-100 road defeat on Friday. Klay Thompson drained five 3-pointers to lead the team with 19 points on seven of 13 shooting off the bench, Cooper Flagg added 16 points with eight rebounds and six assists, and Naji Marshall chipped in with 13 points.

As a team, the Mavericks shot just 41 percent from the field and 14 of 35 from the 3-point line as they did a decent job of staying within striking distance despite their poor shooting, but they went cold and scored just 20 points in the fourth quarter to get blown out in the end. Khris Middleton had a rough game as he shot just two of eight for his seven points, while PJ Washington scored just five points on two of nine shooting. 

Toronto Raptors Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Toronto Raptors have been in a rut, as they’ve lost four of their last five games overall and they will be hoping to snap a two-game skid after getting beaten by the Timberwolves in a 115-107 road defeat on Thursday. RJ Barrett led the team with 25 points on nine of 14 shooting, Immanuel Quickley added 18 points with seven assists, and Scottie Barnes chipped in with 16 points on seven of 12 shooting.

As a team, the Raptors shot 49 percent from the field and nine of 21 from the 3-point line as they got off to a solid start and kept pace with the Timberwolves in a tightly contested first half, but they let themselves down in the third quarter, where they leaked 35 points to trail by as many as 18 points. Jamal Shead had a rough game, as he scored just two points on one of seven shots off the bench. 

Why the Toronto Raptors will win

• The Mavericks have lost each of their last 12 games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Raptors have won each of their last six games following a road loss.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Raptors have covered the spread in five of their last six home games against the Mavericks following a loss.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Raptors have lost each of their last nine home games against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
• The Mavericks have won each of their last four games against the Raptors.
• The Raptors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against Mavericks teams that held a losing record.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in five of their last six games against the Raptors following a road loss.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Mavericks’ last eight games as underdogs following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the last five night games between the Mavericks and Raptors has gone OVER the total points line.

Toronto Raptors Player Facts

• Jamal Shead ranks 9th amongst qualified players for assists per 36 minutes (8.4) this season.
• Sandro Mamukelashvili ranks 9th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for FG% (51.7%) this season.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Max Christie ranks 16th amongst qualified players for 3P% (41.5%) this season.
• P.J. Washington ranks 8th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for blocks per game (1.2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Raptors rank 29th in the league for Q4 points per game this season (25.7).
• The Raptors rank 2nd in the league for Q3 win percentage this season (59.7%).
• The Mavericks rank 30th for second-chance points (693) this season.
• The Mavericks rank 30th for second-chance points per game (11.0) this season.

Dallas Mavericks vs Toronto Raptors Prediction

The Mavericks are still missing Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively II and they are keeping an eye on Marvin Bagley III and Cooper Flagg, who are both questionable, while the Raptors have ruled out Collin Murray-Boyles, with Brandon Ingram listed as questionable with an illness. The Mavericks haven’t quite been as bad as their recent form would suggest, but they have been plagued by injuries all season and they could be without Flagg once again, which makes things tougher for them.

The Raptors haven’t been at their best lately, but they’ve been close in a few games and I think they can finally get over the line with a much-needed win at home in this spot. The line is hefty, but I think the Raptors will have too much for the Mavericks if Flagg isn’t able to suit up.

Peter Tran's Pick: Toronto -10.5