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Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Player Prop Picks 3/12/25 NBA Picks
Pick details
San Antonio Spurs (26-37) vs Dallas Mavericks (33-33)
March 12, 2025 at 08:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: San Antonio Spurs -5.5 — Over/Under: 237
The San Antonio Spurs (26-37) will host the Dallas Mavericks (33-33) on March 12th, 2025, at Frost Bank Center. Both teams are dealing with significant injuries, notably the absences of Victor Wembanyama for the Spurs and Anthony Davis for the Mavericks. Despite these setbacks, Dallas has dominated recent matchups, winning 14 of the past 15 meetings, including a 133-129 victory over San Antonio on Monday. Â
The Spurs’ lineup features veterans like Chris Paul and De’Aaron Fox, while the Mavericks rely on Klay Thompson and Spencer Dinwiddie. As both teams navigate their injury challenges, this game presents an opportunity for bench players to step up and influence the outcome.​
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Chris Paul Under 8.5 Points
Chris Paul has been inconsistent for the San Antonio Spurs during the 2024-25 NBA season. He’s averaging 9.4 points per game. He seems to do everything besides score the ball. He’s scored 9 or fewer points in 7 of his last 10 games. These teams played just on Monday, and Paul only scored 6 points in that one. Until Paul shows me he can contribute more to this offense, I’ll be looking to continue to take the under on his points.Â
Harrison Barnes Over 10.5 Points
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Harrison Barnes has been a reliable scoring option for the San Antonio Spurs during the 2024-25 NBA season. He’s averaging 11.2 points per game, demonstrating consistent offensive production. Barnes has been particularly effective from beyond the arc, shooting a career-best 42.4% on three-pointers, with notable proficiency from the corners at 47.4% overall and 52.2% from the right corner. Barnes is coming off a massive game where he dropped 29 points against this same Mavs team on Monday night. This Spurs team is desperate for guys to step up and score, and Barnes has taken advantage of that. We’ve seen him score over 10 points in his last 3 games, and I like him to have another strong performance on Wednesday.
Naji Marshall Over 21.5 Points
Naji Marshall has been a significant offensive contributor for the Dallas Mavericks during the 2024-25 NBA season. He’s averaging 11.6 points per game, marking a career-high in scoring. Marshall has demonstrated improved efficiency, shooting 54.4% from the field and 88.2% from the free-throw line. His three-point shooting stands at 29.4%, indicating room for development in perimeter accuracy. In addition to his scoring, Marshall contributes 3.4 rebounds, 2.4 assists, and 1.0 steals per game, showcasing his versatility on the court. With how banged up this Mavs team is and with the inconsistencies with Klay Thompson, Naji Marshall has stepped up in a big way for this Mavs team. He’s scored 20+ points in his last 4 games, and with how thin this Mavs team is, I don’t see him slowing down in this one.Â
Brad Francis's Pick: See Above
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