Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Prediction 1/6/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Dallas Mavericks and Sacramento Kings meet Tuesday in NBA action at the Golden 1 Center. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the 76ers, beat the Rockets, and they play the Jazz next. The Mavs have lost 6 of their last 8 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 113.6 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 117.4 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 21.7 points and 3 assists, while Cooper Flagg is averaging 19.2 points and 6.4 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Naji Marshall is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 33.4 percent from beyond the arc and 76 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.5 rebounds per game.

Sacramento Kings Betting Preview

The Sacramento Kings lost to the Bucks and Suns, and they play the Warriors next. The Kings have lost 14 of their last 18 games.

The Sacramento Kings are averaging 110.9 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 122.3 points on 49.7 percent shooting. Zach LaVine is averaging 20.2 points and 3 rebounds, while DeMar DeRozan is averaging 18.5 points and 3.4 rebounds. Domantas Sabonis is the third double-digit scorer and Keegan Murray is grabbing 6.1 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc and 76.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Sacramento Kings will win

• The Mavericks have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
• The Kings have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Mavericks following a loss.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games.
• The Kings have covered the spread in six of their last seven games against the Mavericks following a loss.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Kings have lost 13 of their last 14 games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The road team has won seven of the last nine games between the Mavericks and Kings.
• The Kings have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in four of their last five games as road favorites when playing with a rest advantage.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Mavericks’ last four road games following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
• Eight of the last 10 games between the Mavericks and Kings have gone UNDER the total points line.

Sacramento Kings Player Facts

• Dennis Schroder ranks 17th amongst qualified players for assists per 36 minutes (7.5) this season.
• Zach LaVine ranks 21st amongst qualified players for FT% (87.6%) this season.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Naji Marshall is one of only 10 players to have scored 30+ points off the bench in a game this season.
• Cooper Flagg is one of only 14 qualified players in the league to be leading their team in points (18.9) and assists (4.1) per game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Kings rank 30th in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (10.5).
• The Kings rank 30th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (30.4).
• Eight different Mavericks players have scored 25+ points in a game this season – equal-most in the league.
• The Mavericks rank 29th in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (47.7).

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Injury Report

The Kings will be without Domantas Sabonis and Keegan Murray.

The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, and Dante Exum. P.J. Washington is doubtful.

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Prediction

I don’t want to back the Kings as much as the next guy, but laying points with the Mavericks on the road doesn’t sound any better. The Mavs are 10 games below a .500 record and they’re 15-21 ATS on the season. The Kings have seen 5 of their 8 wins come at home, and they upset the Mavericks a couple of weeks ago as 3-point underdogs. The Kings have actually won 4 of the last 5 games against the Mavericks overall. The Mavs are 3-7 SU and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games. Decent sized favorites on the road? Not buying it. Give me the points with the Kings at home.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Sacramento Kings +5.5