Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Player Prop Picks 4/16/25 NBA Picks

The Sacramento Kings and Dallas Mavericks are set to clash in a critical Western Conference Play-In Tournament game on Wednesday, April 16, 2025, at 10:00 p.m. ET at the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento. This 9-vs-10 seed matchup is a do-or-die scenario: the winner advances to face the loser of the Warriors-Grizzlies game for the final playoff spot, while the loser’s season comes to an end.​

The Mavericks aim to overcome their recent struggles, having lost four of their last five games. The Kings, on the other hand, are looking to capitalize on their home advantage and recent form.

Check out Brad’s BEST PICKS, including his $19 PICK OF THE DAY!

Klay Thompson Over 3.5 Three Pointers

Klay Thompson is averaging 3.0 made three-pointers per game on 7.7 attempts, resulting in a three-point shooting percentage of 39.1%. This performance places him 13th in the league for three-pointers made per game this season. Thompson’s three-point shooting has been a bit inconsistent this season, but he has a great matchup in this game going against the Kings. The Kings are giving up 14.5 three-pointers per game to opposing teams, which is the 3rd most in the league.

Zach Lavine Over 24.5 Points

LaVine has averaged 23.3 points, 4.3 rebounds, and 4.2 assists per game. He has shot an impressive 51.1% from the field, 44.6% from three-point range, and 82.5% from the free-throw line, contributing to a highly efficient 63.9% true shooting percentage. We saw Lavine lead the way for the Kings when it comes to a scoring perspective to finish the season. Lavine has scored 25+ points in 5 of his last 6 games. Let’s ride the hot hand in this one. 

Domantas Sabonis Under 13.5 Rebounds

Sabonis is averaging 13.9 rebounds per game over 70 appearances for the Sacramento Kings.  This included averages of 3.8 offensive and 10.1 defensive rebounds per game. Don’t get me wrong, Sabonis is one of the best rebounders in the league, but he had a tough matchup in this one. He’ll be matched up with Anthony Davis, who is also an elite rebounder. This line is just too high for a guy who’ll have to deal with Davis all game in the paint. 

Brad Francis's Pick: See Above