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Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction 12/29/2025 Today’s NBA Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Dallas Mavericks | Portland Trailblazers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 12-21 | 13-19 |
| Spread | +2.5 -115 | -2.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | +110 | -130 |
| Total | Over 233.5 (-115) | Under 233.5 (-105) |
| Where | Moda Center, Portland, OR | |
| When | Monday, December 29, 2025 | |
| Time | 10:30 PM EST | |
| TV | NBC | |
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Warriors and Kings, and they play the 76ers next. The Mavs have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 113.6 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 117.4 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 21.7 points and 3 assists, while Cooper Flagg is averaging 19.2 points and 6.4 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Naji Marshall is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 33.4 percent from beyond the arc and 76 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.5 rebounds per game.
Portland Trail Blazers Betting Preview
The Portland Trail Blazers lost to the Clippers, beat the Celtics, and they play the Thunder next. The Trail Blazers have lost 9 of their last 14 games.
The Portland Trail Blazers are averaging 116.7 points on 44.6 percent shooting and allowing 120.5 points on 47.7 percent shooting. Deni Avdija is averaging 25.6 points and 7.1 rebounds, while Shaedon Sharpe is averaging 21.9 points and 4.4 rebounds. Jerami Grant is the third double-digit scorer and Jrue Holiday is grabbing 5.3 rebounds. The Portland Trail Blazers are shooting 33.3 percent from beyond the arc and 78.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Portland Trail Blazers are allowing 36.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.1 rebounds per game.
Why the Portland Trail Blazers will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last six games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Trail Blazers have won eight of their last nine home games on the second leg of a back-to-back after winning as underdogs.
- The Trail Blazers have covered the spread in 14 of their last 15 games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Mavericks have won each of their last four games as underdogs following a road loss.
- The Trail Blazers have lost four of their last five games as home favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Trail Blazers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six night games against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games at Moda Center following a loss.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last eight games between the Mavericks and Trail Blazers at Moda Center have gone OVER the total points line.
- Fourteen of the Mavericks’ last 15 night games at Moda Center have gone OVER the total points line.
Portland Trail Blazers Player Facts
- Shaedon Sharpe ranks 6th amongst qualified players for fast break points per game (3.8) this season.
- Toumani Camara ranks 14th amongst qualified Forwards for three-pointers made per game (2.5) this season.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- Cooper Flagg ranks 8th in the league for fast break points (112) this season.
- Naji Marshall is one of only nine players to have scored 30+ points off the bench in a game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Trail Blazers rank 30th in the league for turnovers per game this season (17.3).
- The Trail Blazers have recorded the largest comeback win from a Q1 deficit this season – trailed by 20 points vs Thunder on November 5.
- The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for Q2 win percentage this season (30.3%).
- Eleven different Mavericks players have scored 20+ points in a game this season – most in the league.
Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers Injury Report
The Trail Blazers will be without Damian Lillard, Blake Wesley, Matisse Thybulle, Jrue Holiday, Scoot Henderson, Jerami Grant, and Robert Williams III.
The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, and Dante Exum. Brandon Williams and Anthony Davis are questionable.
Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction
The Trail Blazers are on the end of a back-to-back and have had issues stringing together wins all year. However, the Mavs remain banged up and are 3-11 SU on the road. In fact, the Mavericks haven’t won a road game in 28 days. The Trail Blazers aren’t getting the results they’d like, but they’re a young, feisty group that competes, and maybe their win over the Celtics is the boost they needed to start getting some wins. I’ll lay the bucket with Portland as a fade of the Mavs on the road.
