Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction NBA Picks 12/27/24

Pick details

Phoenix Suns (15-14) vs Dallas Mavericks (19-11)

December 27, 2024 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Phoenix Suns -2.5 / Dallas Mavericks +2.5 — Over/Under: 226.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Mavericks and Phoenix Suns meet Friday in NBA action at the Footprint Center. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks beat the Trail Blazers, lost to the Timberwolves, and they play the Kings, Rockets, and Cavs next. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 118.2 points on 48.6 percent shooting and allowing 111.8 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 28.1 points and 7.8 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 24 points and 4.6 rebounds. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and PJ Washington is grabbing 7.9 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 37.7 percent from beyond the arc and 77.1 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.4 rebounds per game.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview

The Phoenix Suns lost to the Pistons, split with the Nuggets, and they play the Warriors, Grizzlies, and Pacers next. The Phoenix Suns are averaging 113.3 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 114.6 points on 47.3 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 27.1 points and 6.6 rebounds, while Devin Booker is averaging 25.1 points and 3.7 rebounds. Bradley Beal is the third double-digit scorer and Tyus Jones is grabbing 2.5 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 38.2 percent from beyond the arc and 79.8 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 37.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

  • The Suns have won each of their last five home games against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Mavericks have lost four of their last five games at Footprint Center following a loss.
  • The Suns have covered the spread in seven of their last eight night games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games against Suns teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the last six night games between the Mavericks and Suns has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Eight of the Mavericks’ last nine games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

I’ve said before I’m not high on the Phoenix Suns, but they’re coming off a nice Christmas win over the Nuggets, and they’re the healthier team in this matchup. The Dallas Mavericks looked awful against the Timberwolves before a late failed comeback, and they lost Luka due to a calf injury. The Suns have seen 10 of their 15 wins come at home, and they have won 4 of the last 6 games against the Mavericks. We’re not being asked to lay anything crazy. Give me the Suns and the small chalk. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: Phoenix Suns -2.5

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