Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction 11/28/2025 Today’s NBA Picks

The Dallas Mavericks and LA Lakers meet Friday in NBA action at the crypto.com Arena. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers Pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Grizzlies and Heat, and they play the Clippers next. The Mavs have lost 19 of their last 26 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 109.6 points on 44.1 percent shooting and allowing 115.5 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 20.8 points and 2.2 assists, while Cooper Flagg is averaging 15.9 points and 6.4 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.6 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 31.8 percent from beyond the arc and 75 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 31.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.5 rebounds per game.

LA Lakers Betting Preview

The LA Lakers beat the Jazz and Clippers, and they play the Pelicans next. The Lakers have won 19 of their last 26 regular season games.

The LA Lakers are averaging 118.3 points on 51 percent shooting and allowing 114.8 points on 47.7 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 35.2 points and 8.8 rebounds, while Austin Reaves is averaging 27.9 points and 5.7 rebounds. LeBron James is the third double-digit scorer, and Deandre Ayton is grabbing 8.4 rebounds. The LA Lakers are shooting 33.9 percent from beyond the arc and 79.2 percent from the free-throw line. The LA Lakers are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.2 rebounds per game.

Why the Los Angeles Lakers will win

• The Mavericks have lost each of their last 14 games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Lakers have won each of their last 11 night games against Southwest Division opponents.
• The Lakers have covered the spread in each of their last 10 night games against Southwest Division opponents.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Pacific Division opponents.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Mavericks have won 11 of their last 13 games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Lakers.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight night games against Lakers teams that held a winning record.
• The Lakers have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Lakers’ last seven games at Crypto.com Arena have gone OVER the total points line.
• Ten of the Mavericks’ last 11 night games at Crypto.com Arena have gone UNDER the total points line.

Los Angeles Lakers Player Facts

• Austin Reaves is one of only five players in the league to have scored 40+ points in consecutive games this season.
• LeBron James leads all Lakers players for assists per 36 minutes (9.7) this season.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Cooper Flagg ranks 2nd amongst qualified rookies for points per game (15.9) this season.
• Daniel Gafford ranks 16th amongst qualified Centers for FT% (79.5%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Lakers rank 30th in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (11.0).
• The Lakers rank 30th in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (82.8).
• The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for H1 points per game this season (52.1).
• The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for offensive rating this season (105.4).

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers Injury Report

The Lakers will be without Deandre Ayton due to a knee injury.

The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, Anthony Davis and Dante Exum. Brandon Williams is questionable.

Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction

The Mavericks keep losing and have failed to cover 3 of their last 5 games. The Mavs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a double-digit underdog. The Lakers are not only winning games, but they’re 12-5 ATS, and that 70.5 percent cover percentage is the best in the NBA. This also remains a revenge spot for Luka, as I don’t think he’ll ever forgive the Mavs for the trade, and I’m sure he wants to kill his former team every chance he gets. There’s a chance AD returns and maybe that lowers the line, but at the time of this writing I’m laying the points with the Lakers.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Los Angeles Lakers -11.5